Department of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy; Department of Statistics, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Department of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy.
Int J Infect Dis. 2023 Apr;129:135-141. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2023.01.027. Epub 2023 Jan 26.
OBJECTIVES: During 2022, Omicron became the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in Europe. This study aims to assess the impact of such variant on severe disease from SARS-CoV-2 compared with the Delta variant in Italy. METHODS: Using surveillance data, we assessed the risk of developing severe COVID-19 with Omicron infection compared with Delta in individuals aged ≥12 years using a multilevel negative binomial model adjusting for sex, age, vaccination status, occupation, previous infection, weekly incidence, and geographical area. We also analyzed the interaction between the sequenced variant, age, and vaccination status. RESULTS: We included 21,645 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection where genome sequencing found Delta (10,728) or Omicron (10,917), diagnosed from November 15, 2021 to February 01, 2022. Overall, 3,021 cases developed severe COVID-19. We found that Omicron cases had a reduced risk of severe COVID-19 compared with Delta cases (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.70-0.86). The largest difference was observed in cases aged 40-59 (IRR = 0.66; 95% CI: 0.55-0.79), while no protective effect was found in those aged 12-39 (IRR = 1.03; 95% CI: 0.79-1.33). Vaccination was associated with a lower risk of developing severe COVID-19 in both variants. CONCLUSION: The Omicron variant is associated with a lower risk of severe COVID-19 compared to infection with the Delta variant, but the degree of protection varies with age.
目的:2022 年期间,奥密克戎(Omicron)成为欧洲主要的 SARS-CoV-2 变异株。本研究旨在评估与意大利的德尔塔(Delta)变异株相比,奥密克戎变异株对 SARS-CoV-2 重症疾病的影响。
方法:使用监测数据,我们使用多水平负二项式模型评估了 12 岁以上个体中奥密克戎感染与德尔塔感染相比发生重症 COVID-19 的风险,该模型调整了性别、年龄、疫苗接种状态、职业、既往感染、每周发病率和地理区域。我们还分析了测序变异、年龄和疫苗接种状态之间的相互作用。
结果:我们纳入了 21645 例 SARS-CoV-2 感染病例,其中基因组测序发现德尔塔(10728 例)或奥密克戎(10917 例),诊断时间为 2021 年 11 月 15 日至 2022 年 2 月 1 日。总体而言,3021 例发生了重症 COVID-19。我们发现奥密克戎病例发生重症 COVID-19 的风险较德尔塔病例降低(发病率比[IRR] = 0.77;95%置信区间[CI]:0.70-0.86)。在 40-59 岁的病例中差异最大(IRR = 0.66;95% CI:0.55-0.79),而在 12-39 岁的病例中未发现保护作用(IRR = 1.03;95% CI:0.79-1.33)。在两种变异株中,疫苗接种均与重症 COVID-19 风险降低相关。
结论:与感染德尔塔变异株相比,奥密克戎变异株与重症 COVID-19 的风险较低相关,但保护程度随年龄而异。
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2022-2-11
Epidemiol Infect. 2022-12-20
JAMA Netw Open. 2025-1-2
Infect Dis Model. 2024-10-10
Front Public Health. 2024