Department of Psychology, MSB Medical School Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Department of Criminology, Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Sex Abuse. 2023 Oct;35(7):863-895. doi: 10.1177/10790632221148667. Epub 2023 Jan 31.
There are multiple ways to report risk scale results. Varela et al. (2014) found that Static-99R results were interpreted differently by prospective jurors based on risk level (high vs low) and an interaction between risk level and risk communication format (categorical, absolute estimate, and risk ratio). We adapted and extended Varela et al.'s (2014) study using updated Static-99R norms, recruiting a population-wide sample ( = 166), and adding variables assessing the personality factors 'cognitive motivation' (i.e., need for cognition) and 'attitudinal affect' (i.e., attitudes toward sex offenders, authoritarianism). We found a main effect of risk level and no effect of either communication format or the interaction between the two. Adding the personality variables increased explained variance from 9% to 34%, suggesting risk perception may be more about the personality of the person receiving the information than the information itself. We also found an interaction between attitudes toward sex offenders and risk level. Our results suggest risk perception might be better understood if personality factors are considered, particularly attitudes toward sex offenders. Because biases/personality of the person receiving the information are unknown in real world settings we argue that sharing multiple methods for communicating risk might be best and more inclusive.
有多种方法可以报告风险量表的结果。Varela 等人(2014)发现,根据风险水平(高或低)和风险沟通格式(分类、绝对估计和风险比)之间的相互作用,前瞻性陪审员对 Static-99R 的结果有不同的解释。我们使用更新的 Static-99R 规范改编和扩展了 Varela 等人(2014)的研究,招募了一个广泛的人群样本(n=166),并增加了评估人格因素“认知动机”(即认知需求)和“态度影响”(即对性犯罪者、权威主义的态度)的变量。我们发现风险水平有主要影响,沟通格式或两者之间的相互作用没有影响。添加人格变量后,解释方差从 9%增加到 34%,这表明风险感知可能更多地与接收信息的人的个性有关,而不是信息本身。我们还发现了对性犯罪者的态度与风险水平之间的相互作用。我们的结果表明,如果考虑人格因素,特别是对性犯罪者的态度,那么对风险感知的理解可能会更好。由于在现实环境中不知道接收信息的人的偏见/个性,我们认为,分享多种沟通风险的方法可能是最好的,也是最具包容性的。