Chen Yuanyi, Liu Yi, Yan Yingwei
School of Geography and Planning Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China.
Department of Geography National University of Singapore Singapore.
Trans GIS. 2022 Dec 26. doi: 10.1111/tgis.13016.
The existing crisis management research mostly reveals the patterns of the public's panic levels from the perspectives of public management, sociology, and psychology, only a few studies have revealed the spatiotemporal characteristics. Therefore, this study investigates the spatial distribution and temporal patterns and influencing factors on the general public's panic levels using the Baidu Index data from a geographic perspective. The results show that: (1) The public's panic levels were significantly correlated with the spatial distance between the epicenter and the region of investigation, and with the number of confirmed cases in different regions when the pandemic began to spread. (2) Based on the spatial distance between the epicenter and the region, the public's panic levels in different regions could be divided into three segments: core segment (0-500 km), buffer segment (500-1300 km), and peripheral segment (>1300 km). The panic levels of different people in the three segments were consistent with the Psychological Typhoon Eye Effect and the Ripple Effect can be detected in the buffer segment. (3) The public's panic levels were strongly correlated with whether the spread of the infectious disease crisis occurred and how long it lasted. It is suggested that crisis information management in the future needs to pay more attention to the spatial division of control measures. The type of crisis information released to the general public should depend on the spatial relationship associated with the place where the crisis breaks out.
现有的危机管理研究大多从公共管理、社会学和心理学的角度揭示公众恐慌水平的模式,只有少数研究揭示了时空特征。因此,本研究从地理学角度利用百度指数数据,调查公众恐慌水平的空间分布、时间模式及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)公众恐慌水平与疫情爆发时震中与调查地区的空间距离以及不同地区的确诊病例数显著相关。(2)根据震中与地区的空间距离,不同地区公众的恐慌水平可分为三个区段:核心区段(0 - 500公里)、缓冲区段(500 - 1300公里)和外围区段(>1300公里)。三个区段不同人群的恐慌水平符合心理台风眼效应,在缓冲区段可检测到涟漪效应。(3)公众恐慌水平与传染病危机是否发生及其持续时间密切相关。建议未来的危机信息管理需要更加关注控制措施的空间划分。向公众发布的危机信息类型应取决于与危机爆发地相关的空间关系。