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利用气候变化实验 (CLIMEX) 模型预测 Tamarixia radiata 的全球分布到当前和未来气候。

Tamarixia radiata global distribution to current and future climate using the climate change experiment (CLIMEX) model.

机构信息

Department of Agronomy, Universidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri (UFVJM), Diamantina, MG, 39100-000, Brazil.

Department of Biological Sciences, University of Environment and Sustainable Development, Somanya, Ghana.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Feb 1;13(1):1823. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-29064-3.

Abstract

The phloem-limited bacteria, "Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus" and "Ca. L. americanus", are the causal pathogens responsible for Huanglongbing (HLB). The Asian citrus psyllid Diaphorina citri Kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae) is the principal vector of these "Ca. Liberibacter" species. Though Tamarixia radiata Waterston (Hymenoptera: Eulophidae) has been useful in biological control programmes against D. citri, information on its global distribution remains vague. Using the Climate Change Experiment (CLIMEX) model, the potential global distribution of T. radiata under the 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s for Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A1B and A2 was defined globally. The results showed that habitat suitability for T. radiata covered Africa, Asia, Europe, Oceania, and the Americas. The model predicted climate suitable areas for T. radiata beyond its presently known native and non-native areas. The new locations predicted to have habitat suitability for T. radiata included parts of Europe and Oceania. Under the different climate change scenarios, the model predicted contraction of high habitat suitability (EI > 30) for T. radiata from the 2050s to the 2090s. Nevertheless, the distribution maps created using the CLIMEX model may be helpful in the search for and release of T. radiata in new regions.

摘要

韧皮部局限细菌“亚洲韧皮杆菌”和“美洲韧皮杆菌”是导致黄龙病的致病病原体。亚洲柑橘木虱 Diaphorina citri Kuwayama(半翅目:丽木虱科)是这些“Ca. Liberibacter”物种的主要载体。虽然桃红颈天牛 Tamarixia radiata Waterston(膜翅目:长尾小蜂科)在防治柑橘木虱的生物防治计划中很有用,但关于其全球分布的信息仍然模糊不清。利用气候变化实验(CLIMEX)模型,在 SRES A1B 和 A2 情景下,定义了 2050 年代、2070 年代和 2090 年代桃红颈天牛在全球的潜在分布。结果表明,桃红颈天牛的栖息地适宜性覆盖了非洲、亚洲、欧洲、大洋洲和美洲。该模型预测了桃红颈天牛在其目前已知的本地和非本地地区以外的气候适宜地区。预测具有桃红颈天牛栖息地适宜性的新地点包括欧洲和大洋洲的部分地区。在不同的气候变化情景下,模型预测 2050 年代至 2090 年代,高栖息地适宜性(EI>30)的桃红颈天牛分布范围将会缩小。尽管如此,使用 CLIMEX 模型创建的分布地图可能有助于在新地区寻找和释放桃红颈天牛。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/874a/9892569/e4015648ed2e/41598_2023_29064_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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