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内分泌干扰化学物质与美国全因和病因特异性死亡率的关联:一项前瞻性队列研究。

Association of Endocrine-Disrupting Chemicals with All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in the U.S.: A Prospective Cohort Study.

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Reproductive Medicine, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing 211166, China.

Key Laboratory of Modern Toxicology of Ministry of Education, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing 211166, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Technol. 2023 Feb 21;57(7):2877-2886. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.2c07611. Epub 2023 Feb 2.

Abstract

Wide exposure to endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) poses a great risk on human health. However, few large-scale cohort studies have comprehensively estimated the association between EDCs exposure and mortality risk. This study aimed to investigate the association of urinary EDCs exposure with mortality risk and quantify attributable mortality and economic loss. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to investigate the association of 38 representative EDCs exposure with mortality risk in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). During a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 47,279 individuals were enrolled. All-cause mortality was positively associated with 1-hydroxynaphthalene, 2-hydroxynaphthalene, cadmium, antimony, cobalt, and monobenzyl phthalate. Cancer mortality was positively associated with cadmium. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was positively associated with 1-hydroxynaphthalene, 2-hydroxynaphthalene, and 2-hydroxyfluorene. Nonlinear U-shaped relationships were found between all-cause mortality and cadmium and cobalt, which was also identified between 2-hydroxyfluorene and CVD mortality. J-shaped association of cadmium exposure with cancer mortality was also determined. EDCs exposure may cause 56.52% of total deaths (1,528,500 deaths) and around 1,897 billion USD in economic costs. Exposure to certain phthalates, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, phytoestrogens, or toxic metals, even at substantially low levels, is significantly associated with mortality and induces high economic costs.

摘要

广泛接触内分泌干扰化学物质(EDCs)对人类健康构成了巨大威胁。然而,很少有大规模的队列研究全面评估 EDCs 暴露与死亡风险之间的关系。本研究旨在调查 EDCs 暴露与死亡风险的关联,并量化归因死亡率和经济损失。多变量 Cox 比例风险回归模型用于调查 38 种代表性 EDCs 暴露与国家健康和营养检查调查(NHANES)中死亡风险的关联。在中位数为 7.7 年的随访期间,共纳入了 47279 名参与者。全因死亡率与 1-羟基萘、2-羟基萘、镉、锑、钴和单苄基邻苯二甲酸酯呈正相关。癌症死亡率与镉呈正相关。心血管疾病(CVD)死亡率与 1-羟基萘、2-羟基萘和 2-羟基芴呈正相关。全因死亡率与镉和钴之间存在非线性 U 型关系,2-羟基芴与 CVD 死亡率之间也存在这种关系。还确定了镉暴露与癌症死亡率之间的 J 形关联。EDCs 暴露可能导致 56.52%的总死亡(1528500 例死亡)和约 18970 亿美元的经济成本。即使在低水平暴露的情况下,某些邻苯二甲酸酯、多环芳烃、植物雌激素或有毒金属的暴露与死亡率显著相关,并导致高经济成本。

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