Retrospective cohort study on risk factors for developing ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND

There is a paucity of studies describing the risk factors for developing ischemic stroke in our region.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the current study was to delineate the potential risk factors for the development of ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We have conducted a retrospective cohort hospitalbased study that has enrolled 231 subjects. The subjects have had presented to the emergency department in a tertiary hospital in the United Arab Emirates. Subjects were diagnosed with ischemic stroke within 24 hours of presentation.

OUTCOME MEASURE

The main outcome measure was the development of ischemic stroke during an indexed hospital visit.

RESULTS

The mean age was 47.5 ±3.2 with a higher preponderance of males over females (60.9%) and 48.1% were ≥ 65 years. The final logistic regression model for the development of ischemic stroke contains seven variables. In descending order, the seven predictive risk factors for the development of ischemic stroke were: hypertension (OR 6.1, CI 2.4-9.5; P = 0.029), coronary artery disease (OR 4.2, 3.7-9.1; P = 0.038), low physical activity (OR 4.2, CI 2.1-9.1; P = 0.035), history of previous stroke (OR 4.1, 1.4-3.4; P = 0.033), atrial fibrillation (OR 3.2, CI 2.6-8.2; P = 0.017), family history of stroke (OR 3.1, 1.3-6.9; P = 0.042) and diabetes mellitus (OR 2.7, CI 1.25-6.1; P = 0.035). The specificity of the model was 58.1%; the sensitivity was 86.1%, and the overall accuracy was 75.7%.

CONCLUSION

It is prudent to control modifiable risk factors for the development of strokes such as hypertension, diabetes, atrial fibrillation, coronary artery disease, and low physical activity.