191599The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (Sechenov University), Moscow, Russia.
Technol Cancer Res Treat. 2023 Jan-Dec;22:15330338221150732. doi: 10.1177/15330338221150732.
Primary pulmonary sarcoma (PPS) is very rare in terms of incidence, henceforth, the clinical evidence pertinent to the prognosis of PPS is limited. The aim of this study was to construct a nomogram for evaluating the overall survival (OS) of patients diagnosed with PPS based on the stage, lymph node dissection, tumor size and degree of differentiation, and therapies. A total of 515 patients diagnosed with PPS during the period of 1998 to 2015 were obtained from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database and randomly segregated into 'training group' and 'validation group' with a ratio of 7:3. Regression analysis was executed for the training group to obtain the independent factors influencing prognosis of PPS patients. A nomogram was constructed as per the results obtained through multivariate Cox regression analysis subsequently validated using C index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and calibration curves. Age, tumor size, histology type, lymph node surgery, summary stage and differentiation grade were independent factors affecting the prognosis. C index was 0.775 and 0.737 for both training group, and validation group, respectively. Areas under the ROC curve of 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS were 87.6 (95% CI: 83.8-91.3), 90.1 (95% CI: 86.2-94.0) and 90.6 (95% CI: 85.8-95.4), respectively, in training group. Area under the curve values of 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS in the validation group were 83.1 (95% CI: 75.8-90.5), 82.9 (95% CI: 73.2-92.7) and 87.0 (95% CI: 75.9-98.1), respectively. Based on the nomogram, patients were segregated into low-risk group and high-risk group (degree of risk: cutoff score 193). OS of low-risk group was significantly higher when compared to high-risk group ( < .001) in the training group and validation group. Radiotherapy was a risk factor for the low-risk group and adjuvant chemotherapy has not exhibited influence on OS pertinent to low-risk group. However, adjuvant radiotherapy or chemotherapy both significantly improved the prognosis of PPS patients ( < .001) in the high-risk group. Constructed nomogram could have a strong predictive ability with higher accuracy for the prognosis of patients with PPS. Patients at low risk could not benefit from adjuvant radiotherapy or chemotherapy, while the prognosis clearly improved in the high-risk populations treated with either radiotherapy or chemotherapy.
原发性肺肉瘤(PPS)的发病率非常低,因此,与 PPS 预后相关的临床证据有限。本研究旨在基于分期、淋巴结清扫、肿瘤大小和分化程度以及治疗方法,构建一个用于评估 PPS 患者总生存期(OS)的列线图。
从监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库中获得了 1998 年至 2015 年间诊断为 PPS 的 515 名患者,并将其随机分为“训练组”和“验证组”,比例为 7:3。对训练组进行回归分析,以获得影响 PPS 患者预后的独立因素。随后根据多变量 Cox 回归分析的结果构建了一个列线图,并使用 C 指数、接受者操作特征(ROC)曲线和校准曲线进行验证。
年龄、肿瘤大小、组织学类型、淋巴结手术、综合分期和分化程度是影响预后的独立因素。训练组和验证组的 C 指数分别为 0.775 和 0.737。1 年、3 年和 5 年 OS 的 ROC 曲线下面积分别为 87.6(95%CI:83.8-91.3)、90.1(95%CI:86.2-94.0)和 90.6(95%CI:85.8-95.4)。验证组 1 年、3 年和 5 年 OS 的曲线下面积值分别为 83.1(95%CI:75.8-90.5)、82.9(95%CI:73.2-92.7)和 87.0(95%CI:75.9-98.1)。基于列线图,将患者分为低危组和高危组(危险程度:截断评分 193)。在训练组和验证组中,低危组的 OS 明显高于高危组(<.001)。放疗是低危组的危险因素,辅助化疗对低危组的 OS 无影响。然而,辅助放疗或化疗均显著改善了高危组 PPS 患者的预后(<.001)。
构建的列线图具有较强的预测能力,对 PPS 患者的预后具有更高的准确性。低危患者不能从辅助放疗或化疗中获益,而高危人群接受放疗或化疗后预后明显改善。