Belchior Ana Maria, Teixeira Conceição Pequito
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL) and CIES-Iscte, Lisbon, Portugal.
ISCSP-Instituto Superior de Ciências Sociais e Política, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal.
Polit Stud Rev. 2023 Feb;21(1):82-98. doi: 10.1177/14789299211056193.
Basing on the previous and early months of the COVID-19 pandemic, this article analysis the main determinants of citizens' trust in the prime minister over that period. Prior research on the political effects of the pandemic has mostly focused on identifying a rally around the flag effect, and little is known about other reasons behind the increase in trust after the outbreak of the pandemic. Based on survey data from February to July 2020 for Spanish citizens, we argue that the reasons for the increased trust in the prime minister following the pandemic outbreak are due more to performance evaluations than to emotional-related factors regarding COVID-19 health issues. We also argue that among performance evaluations, the assessment of policy performance in fighting the COVID-19 crisis is of preeminent relevance in explaining trust in the prime minister during the pandemic period. Findings widely support our argument. By comparing the effects of conventional to emotional-related factors, we extend scholarship on political trust in the context of an exogenous crisis.
基于新冠疫情大流行之前及最初几个月的情况，本文分析了这一时期公民对首相信任的主要决定因素。此前关于疫情政治影响的研究大多集中于确定团结在国旗周围的效应，而对于疫情爆发后信任增加背后的其他原因知之甚少。基于2020年2月至7月西班牙公民的调查数据，我们认为，疫情爆发后对首相信任增加的原因更多地在于绩效评估，而非与新冠疫情健康问题相关的情感因素。我们还认为，在绩效评估中，抗击新冠疫情危机的政策绩效评估在解释疫情期间对首相的信任方面具有至关重要的意义。研究结果广泛支持了我们的观点。通过比较传统因素与情感相关因素的影响，我们拓展了在外生危机背景下关于政治信任的学术研究。
