Zhou Wenyuan, Zhang Xiaoqi, Zheng Yanqiao, Gao Tutiantian, Liu Xiaobei, Liang Han
Dong Furen Institute of Economic and Social Development, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China.
Institute of Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100836, China.
Healthcare (Basel). 2023 Jan 17;11(3):289. doi: 10.3390/healthcare11030289.
It has been three years since the initial outbreak of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China, which incurred huge damage both physically and psychologically on human's normal life. As a prevention measure, the lockdown was first adopted by Wuhan, then by a long list of Chinese cities and many other major cities around the world. Lockdown is the most restrictive social distancing strategy, turning out effective in mitigating the spreading of COVID-19 on the community level, which, however, cuts off all social interactions and isolates healthy people from each other. The isolated nature of the lockdown could induce severe mental health issues, forming one major source of depression and domestic violence. Given the potential side effect, a comprehensive investigation based on reliable data sources is needed to evaluate the real psychological impact of COVID-19 lockdown and its evolution over time, particularly in the time when the Omicron variant, known for its low death risk, dominates the pandemic. Based on the Baidu Searching Index data collected for Wuhan and Shanghai, two major cities in China that suffered from long-lasting (over two months) lockdowns in 2020 and 2022, respectively, it is found that the major psychological issue during the lockdown period is not induced by the spreading of COVID-19, but by the execution of lockdown. With the deepening of knowledge about COVID-19 and the decrease in the death risk, the psychological impact of lockdown keeps increasing, while the impact of virus spreading becomes less important and even irrelevant to depression and domestic violence issues. The findings reveal that from the psychological perspective, the negative effect of lockdown already overweighs the positive one, which is especially true for the Omicron variant provided its almost ignorable death risk. Therefore, it is necessary to re-evaluate the yield and cost of lockdown for those countries where the COVID-19 pandemic has not yet come to an end.
自中国武汉首次爆发新冠疫情以来,已经过去了三年,这场疫情给人类的正常生活带来了巨大的身心伤害。作为一项预防措施,武汉率先实施了封城,随后中国的众多城市以及世界上许多其他主要城市也纷纷效仿。封城是最严格的社交距离策略,事实证明它在社区层面有效减缓了新冠病毒的传播,然而,它切断了所有社交互动,使健康的人彼此隔离。封城的隔离性质可能引发严重的心理健康问题,成为抑郁症和家庭暴力的一个主要根源。鉴于其潜在的副作用,需要基于可靠数据源进行全面调查,以评估新冠疫情封城措施的实际心理影响及其随时间的演变,特别是在以低死亡风险著称的奥密克戎变异株主导疫情的时期。基于分别收集的2020年和2022年中国两个主要城市武汉和上海的百度搜索指数数据,发现封城期间的主要心理问题并非由新冠病毒传播引起,而是由封城措施的实施导致。随着对新冠病毒认识的加深以及死亡风险的降低,封城的心理影响持续增加,而病毒传播的影响变得不那么重要,甚至与抑郁症和家庭暴力问题无关。研究结果表明,从心理角度来看,封城的负面影响已经超过了正面影响,对于奥密克戎变异株来说尤其如此,因为其死亡风险几乎可以忽略不计。因此,对于那些新冠疫情尚未结束的国家来说,有必要重新评估封城的收益和成本。