Arceo-Gomez Eva O, Campos-Vazquez Raymundo M, Esquivel Gerardo, Alcaraz Eduardo, Martinez Luis A, Lopez Norma G
Universidad Iberoamericana, Prolongación Paseo de la Reforma 880, Lomas de Santa Fe, Mexico City, CDMX 01219, Mexico.
El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, Carretera Picacho Ajusco 20, Col. Ampliación Fuentes del Pedregal, Mexico City, CDMX C.P. 14110, Mexico.
World Dev Perspect. 2023 Mar;29:100488. doi: 10.1016/j.wdp.2023.100488. Epub 2023 Feb 6.
The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic had an immediate and severe impact on the economy. However, we do not know whether the disease may have a longer-term effect on people's employment opportunities. In this study, we focus on the effects of COVID-19 infection on labor market outcomes 12 months after diagnosis. We use a unique dataset that includes all formal private sector workers in the Mexican social security system and that links health outcomes with administrative records. We implement two alternative identification strategies to estimate the impact: matching estimators and individual fixed effects models. Our study finds that COVID-19 infection does not harm employment probabilities or wages. On the contrary, we find that workers who had tested positive for COVID had a higher likelihood of keeping their formal sector jobs and higher wages than those who did not. Moreover, our results describe mostly low-income workers.
新冠疫情的爆发对经济产生了直接而严重的影响。然而，我们尚不清楚这种疾病是否会对人们的就业机会产生长期影响。在本研究中，我们关注新冠病毒感染在确诊12个月后对劳动力市场结果的影响。我们使用了一个独特的数据集，该数据集涵盖了墨西哥社会保障系统中的所有正规私营部门员工，并将健康结果与行政记录相联系。我们实施了两种替代识别策略来估计这种影响：匹配估计量和个体固定效应模型。我们的研究发现，新冠病毒感染不会损害就业概率或工资。相反，我们发现，新冠病毒检测呈阳性的工人比未检测呈阳性的工人更有可能保住正规部门的工作，且工资更高。此外，我们的研究结果主要描述的是低收入工人。
