Immunization Unit, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany.
Immunization Unit, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany.
J Infect. 2023 Apr;86(4):369-375. doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2023.02.018. Epub 2023 Feb 14.
Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is a growing public health problem with an average of 361 cases notified annually to Germany's passive surveillance system since 2001. We aimed to assess clinical manifestations and identify covariates associated with severity.
We included cases notified 2018-2020 in a prospective cohort study and collected data with telephone interviews, questionnaires to general practitioners, and hospital discharge summaries. Covariates' causal associations with severity were evaluated with multivariable logistic regression, adjusted for variables identified via directed acyclic graphs.
Of 1220 eligible cases, 581 (48%) participated. Of these, 97.1% were not (fully) vaccinated. TBE was severe in 20.3% of cases (children: 9.1%, ≥70-year-olds: 48.6%). Routine surveillance data underreported the proportion of cases with central nervous system involvement (56% vs. 84%). Ninety percent required hospitalization, 13.8% intensive care, and 33.4% rehabilitation. Severity was most notably associated with age (odds ratio (OR): 1.04, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.05), hypertension (OR: 2.27, 95%CI: 1.37-3.75), and monophasic disease course (OR: 1.67, 95%CI: 1.08-2.58).
We observed substantial TBE burden and health service utilization, suggesting that awareness of TBE severity and vaccine preventability should be increased. Knowledge of severity-associated factors may help inform patients' decision to get vaccinated.
自 2001 年以来,德国被动监测系统每年平均通报 361 例蜱传脑炎(TBE)病例,该病已成为一个日益严重的公共卫生问题。本研究旨在评估临床表现,并确定与严重程度相关的协变量。
我们纳入了 2018-2020 年期间一项前瞻性队列研究中报告的病例,并通过电话访谈、向全科医生发放问卷以及医院出院记录摘要收集数据。使用多变量逻辑回归评估协变量与严重程度的因果关系,并通过有向无环图确定的变量进行调整。
在 1220 例合格病例中,有 581 例(48%)参与了研究。其中,97.1%的病例未(完全)接种疫苗。20.3%的病例病情严重(儿童:9.1%,≥70 岁:48.6%)。常规监测数据低估了中枢神经系统受累的病例比例(56% vs. 84%)。90%的病例需要住院治疗,13.8%需要重症监护,33.4%需要康复治疗。严重程度与年龄(比值比(OR):1.04,95%置信区间(CI):1.02-1.05)、高血压(OR:2.27,95%CI:1.37-3.75)和单相病程(OR:1.67,95%CI:1.08-2.58)显著相关。
我们观察到 TBE 负担和卫生服务利用量较大,表明应提高对 TBE 严重程度和疫苗可预防性的认识。了解与严重程度相关的因素可能有助于告知患者接种疫苗的决策。