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青少年自残与撞车风险:澳大利亚新南威尔士州新手司机的 13 年队列研究。

Self-harm in adolescence and risk of crash: a 13-year cohort study of novice drivers in New South Wales, Australia.

机构信息

School of Population Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

The George Institute for Global Health, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.

出版信息

Inj Prev. 2023 Aug;29(4):302-308. doi: 10.1136/ip-2022-044807. Epub 2023 Feb 22.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Self-harm and suicide are leading causes of morbidity and death for young people, worldwide. Previous research has identified self-harm is a risk factor for vehicle crashes, however, there is a lack of long-term crash data post licensing that investigates this relationship. We aimed to determine whether adolescent self-harm persists as crash risk factor in adulthood.

METHODS

We followed 20 806 newly licensed adolescent and young adult drivers in the DRIVE prospective cohort for 13 years to examine whether self-harm was a risk factor for vehicle crashes. The association between self-harm and crash was analysed using cumulative incidence curves investigating time to first crash and quantified using negative binominal regression models adjusted for driver demographics and conventional crash risk factors.

RESULTS

Adolescents who reported self-harm at baseline were at increased risk of crashes 13 years later than those reporting no self-harm (relative risk (RR) 1.29: 95% CI 1.14 to 1.47). This risk remained after controlling for driver experience, demographic characteristics and known risk factors for crashes, including alcohol use and risk taking behaviour (RR 1.23: 95% CI 1.08 to 1.39). Sensation seeking had an additive effect on the association between self-harm and single-vehicle crashes (relative excess risk due to interaction 0.87: 95% CI 0.07 to 1.67), but not for other types of crashes.

DISCUSSION

Our findings add to the growing body of evidence that self-harm during adolescence predicts a range of poorer health outcomes, including motor vehicle crash risks that warrant further investigation and consideration in road safety interventions. Complex interventions addressing self-harm in adolescence, as well as road safety and substance use, are critical for preventing health harming behaviours across the life course.

摘要

简介

自残和自杀是全世界导致年轻人发病和死亡的主要原因。先前的研究已经确定自残是车辆碰撞的一个风险因素,但是,缺乏在获得驾照后调查这种关系的长期碰撞数据。我们旨在确定青少年时期的自残是否在成年后仍然是碰撞风险因素。

方法

我们在 DRIVE 前瞻性队列中对 20806 名新获得驾照的青少年和年轻驾驶员进行了 13 年的随访,以调查自残是否是车辆碰撞的风险因素。使用累积发病率曲线分析自残与碰撞之间的关联,调查首次碰撞的时间,并使用负二项回归模型进行量化,该模型调整了驾驶员人口统计学和常规碰撞风险因素。

结果

与没有自残报告的驾驶员相比,基线报告有自残的青少年在 13 年后发生碰撞的风险更高(相对风险 (RR) 1.29:95%CI 1.14 至 1.47)。在控制驾驶员经验、人口统计学特征和已知的碰撞风险因素(包括饮酒和冒险行为)后,这种风险仍然存在(RR 1.23:95%CI 1.08 至 1.39)。感觉寻求对自残与单车碰撞之间的关联有附加影响(由于交互作用导致的相对超额风险为 0.87:95%CI 0.07 至 1.67),但对其他类型的碰撞没有影响。

讨论

我们的研究结果增加了越来越多的证据,即青少年时期的自残预测一系列较差的健康结果,包括机动车碰撞风险,这些风险需要进一步调查,并在道路安全干预措施中加以考虑。解决青少年自残问题以及道路安全和药物使用问题的复杂干预措施对于预防整个生命过程中的健康危害行为至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/68f1/10423516/24db23d97d27/ip-2022-044807f01.jpg

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