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一氧化碳排放与经济发展的决定因素:以一个发展中经济体为例。

Determinants of CO emissions and economic progress: A case from a developing economy.

作者信息

Umar Muhammad, Yousaf Raza Muhammad, Xu Yan

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, 330013, China.

School of Economics, Shandong Technology and Business University, Yantai, Shandong, 255000, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Jan 3;9(1):e12303. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e12303. eCollection 2023 Jan.

Abstract

This study attempts to explore the bond between Pakistani exports, gross capital formation, energy use and carbon dioxide emission. It uses the data from Pakistan spanning over a longer time horizon of 40 years ranging from 1981 to 2020. The results of ARDL analysis show that Pakistani exports have inverse relationship with CO emission in both short as well as long run and the carbon emission reverts to equilibrium at the speed of 54.9%. Increase in carbon emission also lowers export but the causal relationship is only from exports to carbon emission. Energy utilization results in higher carbon emission both in short as well as long run. Based on above findings this study suggests that Pakistan should increase its exports to improve the position of its balance of payment because higher exports do not harm environment in case of Pakistan.

摘要

本研究试图探讨巴基斯坦出口、总资本形成、能源使用与二氧化碳排放之间的联系。它使用了来自巴基斯坦的数据,时间跨度较长,从1981年至2020年共40年。自回归分布滞后(ARDL)分析结果表明,巴基斯坦出口在短期和长期内均与碳排放呈负相关,碳排放以54.9%的速度恢复到均衡状态。碳排放增加也会降低出口,但因果关系仅从出口指向碳排放。能源利用在短期和长期内都会导致更高的碳排放。基于上述研究结果,本研究建议巴基斯坦应增加出口以改善其国际收支状况,因为对巴基斯坦而言,更高的出口不会损害环境。

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