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全球范围内新出现的空气传播病毒性传染病疫情的时空分布。

Spatial and temporal distribution of emerging airborne viral infectious diseases outbreaks on a global scale.

作者信息

Wang Zekun, Yan Xiangyu, Zhao Mingchen, Zhang Shan, Jia Zhongwei

机构信息

School of Public Health, Peking University, 38 Xueyuan Rd, Beijing, 100191 Haidian District China.

Center for Intelligent Public Health, Institute for Artificial Intelligence, Peking University, Beijing, 100191 China.

出版信息

Z Gesundh Wiss. 2023 Feb 23:1-11. doi: 10.1007/s10389-023-01850-3.

Abstract

AIM

This study aimed to explore the spatial and temporal characteristics of emerging airborne viral infectious diseases outbreaks worldwide.

SUBJECT AND METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature review on outbreaks of emerging airborne viral infectious diseases and calculated outbreak number and intensity at the country level. Fisher's exact test was used to compare the viral infectious diseases outbreaks in different income-level regions. To identify the major airborne viral infectious diseases outbreaks, we ranked and extracted the leading viral infectious diseases in outbreak number and intensity in each country by year.

RESULTS

A total of 2505 outbreaks were reported from 1873 to 2021 across 2010 studies. There were 47 countries (47/130, 36.15%) with more frequent emerging airborne viral infectious disease outbreaks (more than nine outbreaks), and these countries mainly distributed in high-income regions (22/47 countries, 46.81%, < 0.05), especially in Western Europe (14/47 countries, 29.79%, < 0.05). The number of overall outbreaks was more in the United States and China than in other countries in different years. Outbreaks of measles and influenza are always frequent and intense. Highly pathogenic human coronaviruses infection caused short-term pandemics during which their outbreak number and intensity exceeded other viruses. Rift valley fever outbreaks in the human population are spreading outside of Africa through the flow of goods and travelers.

CONCLUSION

Countries in high-income regions reported more emerging airborne viral infectious diseases outbreaks, especially in the Western European region, the United States, and China. It is urgent to strengthen collaborative surveillance of emerging airborne viruses, cross-border flow of goods and travelers, and ecological environment to avoid the spread of viral infectious diseases outbreaks worldwide.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10389-023-01850-3.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨全球新出现的空气传播病毒性传染病暴发的时空特征。

对象与方法

我们对新出现的空气传播病毒性传染病暴发进行了系统的文献综述,并计算了国家层面的暴发次数和强度。采用Fisher精确检验比较不同收入水平地区的病毒性传染病暴发情况。为了确定主要的空气传播病毒性传染病暴发,我们按年份对每个国家暴发次数和强度排名靠前的病毒性传染病进行了排序和提取。

结果

1873年至2021年期间,2010项研究共报告了2505次暴发。有47个国家(47/130,36.15%)新出现的空气传播病毒性传染病暴发较为频繁(超过9次),这些国家主要分布在高收入地区(22/47个国家,46.81%,P<0.05),尤其是西欧(14/47个国家,29.79%,P<0.05)。在不同年份,美国和中国的总体暴发次数比其他国家更多。麻疹和流感的暴发一直频繁且严重。高致病性人类冠状病毒感染引发了短期大流行,在此期间其暴发次数和强度超过了其他病毒。裂谷热在人群中的暴发正通过货物流动和旅行者在非洲以外地区传播。

结论

高收入地区的国家报告的新出现的空气传播病毒性传染病暴发更多,尤其是西欧地区、美国和中国。迫切需要加强对新出现的空气传播病毒、货物和旅行者的跨境流动以及生态环境的协同监测,以避免病毒性传染病暴发在全球范围内传播。

补充信息

在线版本包含可在10.1007/s10389-023-01850-3获取的补充材料。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b8ac/9947442/5ea4bcfd65f6/10389_2023_1850_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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