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道路交通事故死亡率上升与下降的低收入和中等收入国家概况以及摩托车安全的必要性

Profile of low and middle-income countries with increases versus decreases in road crash fatality population rates and necessity of motorcycle safety.

作者信息

Neki Kazuyuki, Mitra Sudeshna, Wambulwa William Majani, Job Raymond Franklin Soames

机构信息

Global Road Safety Facility, The World Bank, Washington DC 20433, USA.

Global Road Safety Facility, The World Bank, Washington DC 20433, USA.

出版信息

J Safety Res. 2023 Feb;84:129-137. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2022.10.014. Epub 2022 Oct 31.

DOI:10.1016/j.jsr.2022.10.014
PMID:36868641
Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Road crash fatalities have increased significantly in Low- and Middle- Income Countries (LMICs) between 2006 and 2016. This study presents how road safety characteristics have changed in LMICs by comparing data over time and relationships between the road crash fatality increase and a wide range of data from LMICs. Parametric and nonparametric methods are used to test significance.

METHOD

There were 35 countries in the Latin America and Caribbean region, the Sub-Saharan Africa region, the East Asia and Pacific region, and the South Asia region, where the population rate of road crash fatalities consistently increased as per country reports, World Health Organization and Global Burden of Disease estimates. In these countries, the proportion of fatalities involving motorcycles (including powered two or three-wheelers) substantially increased (44%) over the same time (statistically significant). In these countries, the helmet-wearing rate was only 46% for all passengers. These patterns were not observed in LMICs with decreasing population fatality rates.

RESULTS

Motorcycle helmet usage rates strongly correlate with decreasing fatalities per 10,000 motorcycles in Low-Income Countries (LICs) and LMICs. Effective interventions (including increasing helmet usage) are urgently needed for motorcycle crash trauma in LMICs, especially where the economy and motorization rapidly grow. National strategies for motorcycle safety, conforming to the Safe System principles, are recommended.

CONCLUSIONS

For evidence-based policy formulation, there is a need to continue strengthening data collection, sharing, and use.

摘要

引言

2006年至2016年间,低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)的道路交通事故死亡人数显著增加。本研究通过比较不同时期的数据以及道路交通事故死亡人数增加与来自LMICs的广泛数据之间的关系,展示了LMICs道路安全特征的变化情况。使用参数和非参数方法来检验显著性。

方法

根据各国报告、世界卫生组织和全球疾病负担估计,拉丁美洲和加勒比地区、撒哈拉以南非洲地区、东亚和太平洋地区以及南亚地区有35个国家,其道路交通事故死亡人口率持续上升。在这些国家,涉及摩托车(包括电动两轮或三轮车)的死亡比例在同一时期大幅上升(44%)(具有统计学显著性)。在这些国家,所有乘客的头盔佩戴率仅为46%。在人口死亡率下降的LMICs中未观察到这些模式。

结果

在低收入国家(LICs)和LMICs中,摩托车头盔使用率与每10000辆摩托车的死亡人数减少密切相关。对于LMICs中的摩托车碰撞创伤,迫切需要有效的干预措施(包括提高头盔使用率),尤其是在经济和机动车化迅速发展的地方。建议制定符合安全系统原则的国家摩托车安全战略。

结论

为了基于证据制定政策,有必要继续加强数据收集、共享和使用。

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