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老龄化与经济偏好:风险、时间、社会和努力偏好的年龄差异的累积元分析。

Aging and Economic Preferences: Cumulative Meta-Analyses of Age Differences in Risk, Time, Social, and Effort Preferences.

机构信息

Faculty of Psychology, Center for Cognitive and Decision Sciences, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.

出版信息

J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2023 Jun 26;78(7):1122-1135. doi: 10.1093/geronb/gbad034.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Several theories predict changes in individuals' economic preferences across the life span. To test these theories and provide a historical overview of this literature, we conducted meta-analyses on age differences in risk, time, social, and effort preferences as assessed by behavioral measures.

METHODS

We conducted separate meta-analyses and cumulative meta-analyses on the association between age and risk, time, social, and effort preferences. We also conducted analyses of historical trends in sample sizes and citation patterns for each economic preference.

RESULTS

The meta-analyses identified overall no significant effects of age for risk (r = -0.02, 95% CI [-0.06, 0.02], n = 39,832) and effort preferences (r = 0.24, 95% CI [-0.05, 0.52], n = 571), but significant effects of age for time (r = -0.04, 95% CI [-0.07, -0.01], n = 115,496) and social preferences (r = 0.11, 95% CI [0.01, 0.21], n = 2,997), suggesting increased patience and altruism with age, respectively. Equivalence tests, which compare these effects to practically important ones (i.e., r = |0.1|), however, suggest that all effects are of trivial significance. The analyses of temporal trends suggest that the magnitude of effects and sample sizes have not changed significantly over time, nor do they dramatically affect the extent that articles are cited.

DISCUSSION

Overall, our results contrast with theories of aging that propose general age effects for risk and effort preferences, yet provide some but tenuous support for those suggesting age-related changes in time and social preferences. We discuss implications for theory development as well as future empirical work on economic preferences.

摘要

目的

有几种理论预测个体的经济偏好会随着生命周期而变化。为了检验这些理论,并提供该文献的历史概述,我们通过行为测量评估了风险、时间、社会和努力偏好方面的年龄差异进行了元分析。

方法

我们分别对年龄与风险、时间、社会和努力偏好之间的关系进行了元分析和累积元分析。我们还对每种经济偏好的样本量和引用模式的历史趋势进行了分析。

结果

元分析确定了年龄对风险(r=-0.02,95%置信区间[-0.06,0.02],n=39832)和努力偏好(r=0.24,95%置信区间[-0.05,0.52],n=571)无显著影响,但对时间(r=-0.04,95%置信区间[-0.07,-0.01],n=115496)和社会偏好(r=0.11,95%置信区间[0.01,0.21],n=2997)有显著影响,分别表明随着年龄的增长,耐心和利他主义会增加。然而,等效性检验将这些影响与实际重要性(即 r=|0.1|)进行比较,表明所有影响都具有微不足道的意义。时间趋势分析表明,随着时间的推移,效应的大小和样本量并没有显著变化,它们也不会显著影响文章被引用的程度。

讨论

总的来说,我们的结果与提出风险和努力偏好普遍存在年龄效应的衰老理论形成对比,但为那些表明时间和社会偏好与年龄相关的变化的理论提供了一些支持,但这种支持非常脆弱。我们讨论了这些结果对理论发展以及未来经济偏好实证工作的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d339/10292840/f40f6c047492/gbad034_fig1.jpg

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