Magnani C, Coggon D, Osmond C, Acheson E D
MRC Environmental Epidemiology Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton General Hospital, UK.
Br J Ind Med. 1987 Nov;44(11):769-76. doi: 10.1136/oem.44.11.769.
A case-control approach has been used to examine mortality from five cancers--oesophagus, pancreas, cutaneous melanoma, kidney, and brain--among young and middle aged men resident in three English counties. The areas studied were chosen because they include major centres of chemical manufacture. By combining data from 20 years it was possible to look at local industries with greater statistical power than is possible using routine national statistics. Each case was matched with up to four controls of similar age who died in the same year from other causes. The occupations and industries recorded on death certificates were coded to standard classifications and risk estimates derived for each job category. Where positive associations were found the records of the cases concerned were examined in greater detail to see whether the risk was limited to specific combinations of occupation and industry. The most interesting findings to emerge were risks of brain cancer associated with the production of meat and fish products (relative risk (RR) = 9.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.6-36.8) and with mineral oil refining (RR = 2.9, CI 1.2-7.0), and a cluster of four deaths from melanoma among refinery workers (RR = 16.0, CI CI 1.8-143.2). A job-exposure matrix was applied to the data but gave no strong indications of further disease associations. Local analyses of occupational mortality such as this can usefully supplement national statistics.
采用病例对照研究方法,对居住在英国三个郡的中青年男性中,食管癌、胰腺癌、皮肤黑色素瘤、肾癌和脑癌这五种癌症的死亡率进行了调查。之所以选择这些研究区域,是因为它们包含化学制造的主要中心。通过整合20年的数据,得以用比常规国家统计数据更强的统计能力来研究当地产业。每个病例与多达四名同年因其他原因死亡的年龄相仿的对照进行匹配。死亡证明上记录的职业和行业被编码为标准分类,并得出每个职业类别的风险估计值。在发现存在正相关的情况下,会更详细地检查相关病例的记录,以确定风险是否仅限于特定的职业和行业组合。最有意思的发现是,肉类和鱼类产品生产(相对风险(RR)= 9.7,95%置信区间(CI)2.6 - 36.8)以及矿物油精炼(RR = 2.9,CI 1.2 - 7.0)与脑癌风险相关,并且炼油厂工人中有4例黑色素瘤死亡病例聚集(RR = 16.0,CI 1.8 - 143.2)。对数据应用了工作暴露矩阵,但未发现进一步的疾病关联的有力迹象。这样的职业死亡率局部分析可以有效地补充国家统计数据。