Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology LMU Munich Munich Germany.
Pettenkofer School of Public Health Munich Germany.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2023 Mar 9;17(3):e13110. doi: 10.1111/irv.13110. eCollection 2023 Mar.
Public health and social measures (PHSM) intend to reduce the transmission of infectious diseases and to reduce the burden on health systems, economies and societies. During the COVID-19 pandemic, PHSM have been selected, combined and implemented in a variable manner and inconsistently categorized in policy trackers. This paper presents an initial conceptual framework depicting how PHSM operate in a complex system, enabling a wide-reaching description of these measures and their intended and unintended outcomes.
In a multi-stage development process, we combined (i) a complexity perspective and systems thinking; (ii) literature on existing COVID-19 PHSM frameworks, taxonomies and policy trackers; (iii) expert input and (iv) application to school and international travel measures.
The initial framework reflects our current understanding of how PHSM are intended to achieve transmission-related outcomes in a complex system, offering visualizations, definitions and worked examples. First, PHSM operate through two basic mechanisms, that is, reducing contacts and/or making contacts safer. Second, PHSM are defined not only by the measures themselves but by their stringency and application to specific populations and settings. Third, PHSM are critically influenced by contextual factors. The framework provides a tool for structured thinking and further development, rather than a ready-to-use tool for practice.
This conceptual framework seeks to facilitate coordinated, interdisciplinary research on PHSM effectiveness, impact and implementation; enable consistent, coherent PHSM monitoring and evaluation; and contribute to evidence-informed decision-making on PHSM implementation, adaptation and de-implementation. We expect this framework to be modified and refined over time.
公共卫生和社会措施旨在减少传染病的传播,并减轻卫生系统、经济和社会的负担。在 COVID-19 大流行期间,公共卫生和社会措施以不同的方式被选择、组合和实施,并在政策跟踪器中不一致地分类。本文提出了一个初步的概念框架,描述了公共卫生和社会措施在复杂系统中的运作方式,从而能够广泛描述这些措施及其预期和非预期的结果。
在一个多阶段的开发过程中,我们结合了(i)复杂性视角和系统思维;(ii)关于现有的 COVID-19 公共卫生和社会措施框架、分类和政策跟踪器的文献;(iii)专家意见;(iv)以及在学校和国际旅行措施中的应用。
初始框架反映了我们目前对公共卫生和社会措施如何在复杂系统中实现与传播相关的结果的理解,提供了可视化、定义和示例。首先,公共卫生和社会措施通过两种基本机制发挥作用,即减少接触和/或使接触更安全。其次,公共卫生和社会措施不仅由措施本身定义,还由其严格程度和针对特定人群和环境的应用定义。第三,公共卫生和社会措施受到背景因素的严重影响。该框架提供了一个结构化思考和进一步发展的工具,而不是一个用于实践的现成工具。
这个概念框架旨在促进关于公共卫生和社会措施有效性、影响和实施的协调、跨学科研究;实现对公共卫生和社会措施的一致、连贯的监测和评估;并为公共卫生和社会措施的实施、调整和取消提供循证决策。我们预计这个框架将随着时间的推移而修改和完善。