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自然资源调节了环境冲击和人类流动之间的关系。

Natural resources modulate the nexus between environmental shocks and human mobility.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University, Linz, Austria.

Department of Economics, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2023 Mar 13;14(1):1393. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-37074-y.

Abstract

In the context of natural resource degradation, migration can act as means of adaptation both for those leaving and those supported by remittances. Migration can also result from an inability to adapt in-situ, with people forced to move, sometimes to situations of worse or of the same exposure to environmental threats. The deleterious impacts of resource degradation have been proposed in some situations to limit the ability to move. In this contribution, we use remote sensed information coupled with population density data for continental Africa to assess quantitatively the prevalence of migration and immobility in the context of one cause of resource degradation: drought. We find that the effect of drought on mobility is amplified with the frequency at which droughts are experienced and that higher income households appear more resilient to climatic shocks and are less likely to resort to mobility as an adaptation response.

摘要

在自然资源退化的背景下,迁移可以成为离开的人和那些得到汇款支持的人的适应手段。迁移也可能是由于无法在原地适应而导致的,人们被迫迁移,有时会陷入更糟糕的情况,或者面临同样的环境威胁。在某些情况下,资源退化的有害影响被认为限制了迁移的能力。在本研究中,我们使用遥感信息结合非洲大陆的人口密度数据,定量评估了资源退化的一个原因:干旱对迁移和非迁移的影响。我们发现,干旱对迁移的影响随着干旱发生频率的增加而放大,而高收入家庭似乎对气候冲击更具弹性,不太可能将迁移作为适应反应。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8129/10011366/62392b6d425a/41467_2023_37074_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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