CY Cergy Paris University, Cergy-Pontoise, Paris, France.
Institut Universitaire de France, Paris, France.
Risk Anal. 2024 Jan;44(1):141-154. doi: 10.1111/risa.14130. Epub 2023 Mar 15.
While flooding is the costliest natural disaster risk, public-sector investments provide incomplete protection. Moreover, individuals are in general reluctant to voluntarily invest in measures which limit damage costs from natural disasters. The moral hazard hypothesis argues that insured individuals take fewer other preparedness measures based on their assumption that their losses will be covered anyway. Conversely, the advantageous selection hypothesis argues that individuals view insurance and other risk reduction measures as complements. This study offers a comprehensive assessment of factors related to the separate uptake of natural disaster insurance and the flood-proofing of homes as well as why people may take both of these measures together. We use data from a survey conducted in Paris, France, in 2018, after several flood events, for a representative sample of 2976 residents facing different levels of flood risk. We perform both main effects regressions and interaction analyses to reveal that home adaptation to flooding is positively associated with comprehensive insurance coverage, which includes financial protection against natural disasters. Furthermore, actual and perceived risks, as well as awareness of official information on flood risk, are found to explain some of the relationship between home adaptation and comprehensive insurance purchase. We suggest several recommendations to policymakers based on these insights which aim to address insurance coverage gaps and the failure to take disaster risk reduction measures. In particular, groups in socially vulnerable situations may benefit from subsidized insurance, low interest loans, and decision aids to implement costly adaptation measures.
虽然洪水是代价最高的自然灾害风险,但公共部门的投资提供的保护并不完善。此外,个人通常不愿意自愿投资于限制自然灾害损失成本的措施。道德风险假说认为,被保险的个人会根据自己的损失反正会得到赔偿的假设,减少其他准备措施。相反,有利选择假说认为,个人将保险和其他风险降低措施视为互补。本研究全面评估了与自然灾害保险的单独采用以及房屋防洪有关的因素,以及为什么人们可能同时采取这两种措施。我们使用了 2018 年在法国巴黎发生多次洪水事件后,对面临不同程度洪水风险的 2976 名居民的代表性样本进行的一项调查数据。我们进行了主要效应回归和交互分析,结果表明,房屋对洪水的适应与全面保险覆盖呈正相关,全面保险覆盖包括对自然灾害的财务保护。此外,实际和感知风险,以及对官方洪水风险信息的认识,被发现可以解释房屋适应与综合保险购买之间的一些关系。基于这些见解,我们向政策制定者提出了几项建议,旨在解决保险覆盖缺口和未能采取减少灾害风险措施的问题。特别是在社会弱势情况下的群体可能受益于补贴保险、低息贷款和决策辅助工具,以实施昂贵的适应措施。