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对草甘膦征税还是禁用?一项离散选择实验以了解公众对逐步淘汰农业中草甘膦使用的偏好。

To tax or to ban? A discrete choice experiment to elicit public preferences for phasing out glyphosate use in agriculture.

机构信息

Department of Engineering Management, Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.

Université Paris-Saclay, INRAE, AgroParisTech, Paris-Saclay Applied Economics, Palaiseau, France.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Mar 16;18(3):e0283131. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283131. eCollection 2023.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0283131
PMID:36928537
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10019652/
Abstract

In 2023, the European Union will vote on the reauthorization of glyphosate use, renewed in 2017 despite concern on impacts on the environment and public health. A ban is supported by several Member States but rejected by most farmers. What are citizens' preferences to phase out glyphosate? To assess whether taxation could be an alternative to a ban, we conducted a discrete choice experiment in five European countries. Our results reveal that the general public is strongly willing to pay for a reduction in glyphosate use. However, while 75.5% of respondents stated to support a ban in the pre-experimental survey, experimental results reveal that in 73.35% of cases, earmarked taxation schemes are preferred when they lead to a strong reduction in glyphosate use for an increase in food price lower than that induced by a ban. When glyphosate reduction is balanced against its costs, a tax may be preferred.

摘要

2023 年,欧盟将就批准继续使用草甘膦进行投票,尽管人们对其对环境和公共健康的影响表示担忧,但草甘膦已于 2017 年获得续期。一些成员国支持禁用,但大多数农民反对。那么,民众对于逐步淘汰草甘膦有何偏好呢?为了评估征税是否可以替代禁用,我们在五个欧洲国家进行了离散选择实验。结果表明,公众强烈愿意为减少草甘膦的使用而付费。然而,尽管 75.5%的受访者在实验前的调查中表示支持禁用,但实验结果显示,在 73.35%的情况下,如果有针对性的税收计划能够大幅减少草甘膦的使用,同时使食品价格的上涨低于禁用所导致的上涨,那么这些计划将更受欢迎。当草甘膦的减少与其成本相平衡时,税收可能会更受青睐。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5426/10019652/8dd6f4654d00/pone.0283131.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5426/10019652/8dd6f4654d00/pone.0283131.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5426/10019652/8dd6f4654d00/pone.0283131.g001.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Support Austria's glyphosate ban.支持奥地利禁用草甘膦。
Science. 2020 Jan 17;367(6475):257-258. doi: 10.1126/science.aba5642.
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Farming without Glyphosate?不使用草甘膦进行耕种?
Plants (Basel). 2020 Jan 11;9(1):96. doi: 10.3390/plants9010096.
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Could revenue recycling make effective carbon taxation politically feasible?收益循环能否使有效的碳税在政治上可行?
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