Kobe University, Graduate School of System Informatics, Japan.
Riken Center for Computational Sciences, Japan.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2023 Mar 20;19(3):e1010972. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010972. eCollection 2023 Mar.
As evidenced by the worldwide pandemic, respiratory infectious diseases and their airborne transmission must be studied to safeguard public health. This study focuses on the emission and transport of speech-generated droplets, which can pose risk of infection depending on the loudness of the speech, its duration and the initial angle of exhalation. We have numerically investigated the transport of these droplets into the human respiratory tract by way of a natural breathing cycle in order to predict the infection probability of three strains of SARS-CoV-2 on a person who is listening at a one-meter distance. Numerical methods were used to set the boundary conditions of the speaking and breathing models and large eddy simulation (LES) was used for the unsteady simulation of approximately 10 breathing cycles. Four different mouth angles when speaking were contrasted to evaluate real conditions of human communication and the possibility of infection. Breathed virions were counted using two different approaches: the breathing zone of influence and direction deposition on the tissue. Our results show that infection probability drastically changes based on the mouth angle and the breathing zone of influence overpredicts the inhalation risk in all cases. We conclude that to portray real conditions, the probability of infection should be based on direct tissue deposition results to avoid overprediction and that several mouth angles must be considered in future analyses.
由全球大流行可知,必须研究呼吸道传染病及其空气传播,以维护公众健康。本研究重点关注言语产生的飞沫的排放和传输,这些飞沫的排放和传输的传播取决于言语的音量、持续时间和初始呼气角度。我们通过自然呼吸周期对这些飞沫进入人体呼吸道的传输进行了数值研究,以便预测在距离一米处听人说话的人感染三种 SARS-CoV-2 菌株的概率。数值方法用于设置说话和呼吸模型的边界条件,大涡模拟(LES)用于大约 10 个呼吸周期的非定常模拟。对比了四种不同的说话口角度,以评估人类交流的真实情况和感染的可能性。使用两种不同的方法来计算呼出的病毒:呼吸影响区和组织方向沉积。我们的结果表明,感染概率会根据口角度发生急剧变化,而且在所有情况下,呼吸影响区都会高估吸入风险。我们的结论是,为了描述真实情况,感染的概率应该基于组织直接沉积的结果,以避免高估,并且在未来的分析中必须考虑多个口角度。