Department of Economics, Ankara University, Ankara, 06500, Turkey.
Department of Economics, Mus Alparslan University, Muş, 49250, Turkey.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 May;30(22):63022-63035. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-26532-1. Epub 2023 Mar 23.
In recent years there has been a great deal of research into environmental pollution using a variety of techniques in response to growing environmental concerns. Convergence analysis, one of these techniques, helps determine whether the developing countries will catch up with the rich countries in pollution using unit root tests. However, the vast majority of the research in the field has generally used conventional unit root tests. Since many economic series contain structural breaks, using unit root tests that account for structural breaks is essential for accurate prediction. More specifically, if the series has a fractional process, conventional unit root tests may erroneously conclude that the departure from linearity is permanent. Moreover, the existing literature mainly uses gas emissions, such as carbon dioxide, which represent pollution weakly. Therefore, we use per capita ecological footprint (EF hereafter) as a more comprehensive pollution indicator of environmental degradation. In this direction, the study aims to determine whether BRICS-T countries' EF converges to the average of the BRICS-T for the 1992-2017 period. Besides the ADF unit root test, we employed the Fourier ADF unit root test, which considers the structural breaks, and the Fractional Frequency Fourier ADF unit root test, which accounts for structural breaks by considering fractional values. Our results showed that EF converges in Russia and Turkey according to the conventional ADF test, in China and Russia according to the Fourier ADF test, and in Brazil and China according to the Fractional Fourier Frequency test.
近年来,人们使用各种技术对环境污染进行了大量研究,以应对日益增长的环境问题。协整分析是这些技术之一,它有助于通过单位根检验来确定发展中国家是否会在污染方面赶上发达国家。然而,该领域的绝大多数研究通常使用传统的单位根检验。由于许多经济序列包含结构断点,因此使用考虑结构断点的单位根检验对于准确预测至关重要。更具体地说,如果序列具有分数过程,传统的单位根检验可能会错误地得出线性偏离是永久性的结论。此外,现有文献主要使用二氧化碳等气体排放作为环境污染的弱指标。因此,我们使用人均生态足迹 (EF) 作为更全面的环境退化污染指标。在这一方向上,本研究旨在确定金砖国家 - 土耳其国家的 EF 是否收敛于金砖国家 - 土耳其国家 1992-2017 年期间的平均值。除了 ADF 单位根检验外,我们还采用了考虑结构断点的傅里叶 ADF 单位根检验,以及考虑分数值的分数频率傅里叶 ADF 单位根检验。我们的结果表明,根据传统的 ADF 检验,EF 在俄罗斯和土耳其收敛,根据傅里叶 ADF 检验,EF 在俄罗斯和中国收敛,根据分数频率傅里叶检验,EF 在巴西和中国收敛。