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荷兰年轻卒中患者卒中后数年新发癌症的相关性研究。

Association of Stroke at Young Age With New Cancer in the Years After Stroke Among Patients in the Netherlands.

机构信息

Department of Neurology, Radboud University Medical Center, Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behavior, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.

Department of Neurology, Sint Jans Gasthuis, Weert, the Netherlands.

出版信息

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Mar 1;6(3):e235002. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.5002.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

Stroke may be a first manifestation of an occult cancer or may be an indicator of an increased cancer risk in later life. However, data, especially for younger adults, are limited.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the association of stroke with new cancer diagnoses after a first stroke, stratified by stroke subtype, age, and sex, and to compare this association with that in the general population.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This registry- and population-based study included 390 398 patients in the Netherlands aged 15 years or older without a history of cancer and with a first-ever ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) between January 1, 1998, and January 1, 2019. Patients and outcomes were identified through linkage of the Dutch Population Register, the Dutch National Hospital Discharge Register, and National Cause of Death Register. Reference data were gathered from the Dutch Cancer Registry. Statistical analysis was performed from January 6, 2021, to January 2, 2022.

EXPOSURE

First-ever ischemic stroke or ICH. Patients were identified by administrative codes from the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, and the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of first-ever cancer after index stroke, stratified by stroke subtype, age, and sex, compared with age-, sex- and calendar year-matched peers from the general population.

RESULTS

The study included 27 616 patients aged 15 to 49 years (median age, 44.5 years [IQR, 39.1-47.6 years]; 13 916 women [50.4%]; 22 622 [81.9%] with ischemic stroke) and 362 782 patients aged 50 years or older (median age, 75.8 years [IQR, 66.9-82.9 years]; 181 847 women [50.1%]; 307 739 [84.8%] with ischemic stroke). The cumulative incidence of new cancer at 10 years was 3.7% (95% CI, 3.4%-4.0%) among patients aged 15 to 49 years and 8.5% (95% CI, 8.4%-8.6%) among patients aged 50 years or older. The cumulative incidence of new cancer after any stroke among patients aged 15 to 49 years was higher among women than men (Gray test statistic, 22.2; P < .001), whereas among those aged 50 years or older, the cumulative incidence of new cancer after any stroke was higher among men (Gray test statistic, 943.1; P < .001). In the first year after stroke, compared with peers from the general population, patients aged 15 to 49 years were more likely to receive a diagnosis of a new cancer after ischemic stroke (standardized incidence ratio [SIR], 2.6 [95% CI, 2.2-3.1]) and ICH (SIR, 5.4 [95% CI, 3.8-7.3]). For patients aged 50 years or older, the SIR was 1.2 (95% CI, 1.2-1.2) after ischemic stroke and 1.2 (95% CI, 1.1-1.2) after ICH.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study suggests that, compared with the general population, patients aged 15 to 49 years who have had a stroke may have a 3- to 5-fold increased risk of cancer in the first year after stroke, whereas this risk is only slightly elevated for patients aged 50 years or older. Whether this finding has implications for screening remains to be investigated.

摘要

重要性

中风可能是隐匿性癌症的首发表现,也可能是晚年癌症风险增加的一个指标。然而,目前数据,尤其是针对年轻成年人的数据,十分有限。

目的

评估首次中风后新发癌症诊断与中风亚型、年龄和性别之间的关联,并将这种关联与普通人群进行比较。

设计、地点和参与者:本研究是一项基于注册和人群的研究,纳入了荷兰年龄在 15 岁及以上、无癌症病史且在 1998 年 1 月 1 日至 2019 年 1 月 1 日之间发生首次缺血性中风或颅内出血(ICH)的 390398 名患者。通过荷兰人口登记处、荷兰国家住院患者登记处和国家死因登记处对患者和结局进行了链接。参考数据来自荷兰癌症登记处。统计分析于 2021 年 1 月 6 日至 2022 年 1 月 2 日进行。

暴露

首次缺血性中风或 ICH。患者通过国际疾病分类第九版和国际疾病分类和相关健康问题第十版的行政代码确定。

主要结果和措施

主要结局是与普通人群中年龄、性别和日历年份相匹配的同龄人相比,指数性中风后首次癌症的累积发生率。

结果

研究纳入了 27616 名年龄在 15 至 49 岁的患者(中位年龄 44.5 岁[四分位距,39.1-47.6 岁];13916 名女性[50.4%];22622 例[81.9%]为缺血性中风)和 362782 名年龄在 50 岁及以上的患者(中位年龄 75.8 岁[四分位距,66.9-82.9 岁];181847 名女性[50.1%];307739 例[84.8%]为缺血性中风)。15 至 49 岁患者的 10 年新发癌症累积发生率为 3.7%(95%CI,3.4%-4.0%),50 岁及以上患者的 10 年新发癌症累积发生率为 8.5%(95%CI,8.4%-8.6%)。在 15 至 49 岁的中风患者中,女性的新发癌症累积发生率高于男性(格雷检验统计量,22.2;P < .001),而在 50 岁及以上的中风患者中,男性的新发癌症累积发生率高于女性(格雷检验统计量,943.1;P < .001)。在中风后的第一年,与普通人群中的同龄人相比,15 至 49 岁的中风患者更有可能在缺血性中风(标准化发病比[SIR],2.6[95%CI,2.2-3.1])或 ICH(SIR,5.4[95%CI,3.8-7.3])后被诊断为新发癌症。对于 50 岁及以上的患者,缺血性中风后的 SIR 为 1.2(95%CI,1.2-1.2),ICH 后为 1.2(95%CI,1.1-1.2)。

结论和相关性

本研究表明,与普通人群相比,15 至 49 岁发生中风的患者在中风后第一年癌症风险可能增加 3 至 5 倍,而 50 岁及以上患者的风险仅略有升高。这一发现是否对筛查有意义仍有待研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5864/10051084/8380fa282c39/jamanetwopen-e235002-g001.jpg

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