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酒精价格、四月效应与环境对英格兰和威尔士与暴力相关损伤的影响。

Alcohol prices, the April effect, and the environment, in violence-related injury in England and Wales.

机构信息

Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, Colum Drive, Cardiff, CF10 3EU, UK.

Nottingham University Business School China, University of Nottingham Ningbo China, 199 Taikang East Road, Ningbo, 315100, China.

出版信息

Eur J Health Econ. 2024 Mar;25(2):237-255. doi: 10.1007/s10198-023-01583-w. Epub 2023 Mar 29.

DOI:10.1007/s10198-023-01583-w
PMID:36988743
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10052256/
Abstract

Violent injury varies widely across England and Wales as does the price of alcohol. While the links between alcohol consumption and violence are well established in the medical and epidemiological literature, a causal link is questionable. This paper cuts through the causative argument by reporting a link between the general price of alcohol and violence-related injury across the economic regions of England and Wales. It examines the influence of the real price of alcohol and identifies an 'April effect' that coincides with the annual uprating of alcohol prices for excise duties, on violence-related injuries recorded at Emergency Department attendance. The data are monthly frequency of violent injury rates covering the period 2005-2014 across the economic regions. The principal finding is that a one-way relationship between the real price of alcohol and violent injury is established, and tax policy can be used to reduce the incidence of violent injury and the associated health costs.

摘要

英格兰和威尔士的暴力伤害差异很大,酒精价格也存在差异。虽然酒精消费与暴力之间的联系在医学和流行病学文献中已经得到充分证实,但因果关系值得怀疑。本文通过报告英格兰和威尔士各经济区域内酒精的普遍价格与与暴力相关的伤害之间的联系,打破了这种因果关系的争论。本文研究了酒精实际价格的影响,并确定了一种“4 月效应”,即在每年为消费税调整酒精价格时,与急诊科就诊的暴力相关伤害记录相吻合。这些数据是涵盖 2005 年至 2014 年期间各经济区域内每月暴力伤害发生率的频率。主要发现是,酒精的实际价格与暴力伤害之间存在单向关系,税收政策可用于减少暴力伤害的发生率和相关的健康成本。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54a7/10858830/b1433e185a90/10198_2023_1583_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54a7/10858830/c144a816dedb/10198_2023_1583_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54a7/10858830/0e54b5233a5d/10198_2023_1583_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54a7/10858830/8f2ba7b475d1/10198_2023_1583_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54a7/10858830/b1433e185a90/10198_2023_1583_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54a7/10858830/c144a816dedb/10198_2023_1583_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54a7/10858830/0e54b5233a5d/10198_2023_1583_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54a7/10858830/8f2ba7b475d1/10198_2023_1583_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/54a7/10858830/b1433e185a90/10198_2023_1583_Fig4_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Can a policy-induced reduction in alcohol consumption improve health outcomes and stimulate the UK economy?: A potential 'double dividend'.政策引导下的饮酒量减少能否改善健康状况并刺激英国经济?:潜在的“双重红利”。
Drug Alcohol Rev. 2019 Jul;38(5):554-560. doi: 10.1111/dar.12962.
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A Longitudinal Analysis of Disability-Related Interpersonal Violence and Some Implications for Violence Prevention Work.残疾相关人际暴力的纵向分析及其对暴力预防工作的一些启示。
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The General Aggression Model.
一般侵犯模型。
Curr Opin Psychol. 2018 Feb;19:75-80. doi: 10.1016/j.copsyc.2017.03.034. Epub 2017 Apr 13.
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Is weather related to the number of assaults seen at emergency departments?天气与急诊科所见的袭击事件数量有关吗?
Injury. 2017 Nov;48(11):2438-2442. doi: 10.1016/j.injury.2017.08.038. Epub 2017 Aug 24.
5
Preventing violence-related injuries in England and Wales: a panel study examining the impact of on-trade and off-trade alcohol prices.预防英格兰和威尔士与暴力相关的伤害:一项考察酒类零售和批发价格影响的小组研究。
Inj Prev. 2017 Feb;23(1):33-39. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2015-041884. Epub 2016 Jul 11.
6
Thirty years of research show alcohol to be a cause of intimate partner violence: Future research needs to identify who to treat and how to treat them.三十年的研究表明,酒精是亲密伴侣暴力的一个成因:未来的研究需要确定治疗对象以及治疗方法。
Drug Alcohol Rev. 2017 Jan;36(1):7-9. doi: 10.1111/dar.12434. Epub 2016 Jun 16.
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Trends in violence in England and Wales 2010-2014.2010 - 2014年英格兰和威尔士的暴力趋势
J Epidemiol Community Health. 2016 Jun;70(6):616-21. doi: 10.1136/jech-2015-206598. Epub 2015 Dec 29.
8
A Review of Existing Studies Reporting the Negative Effects of Alcohol Access and Positive Effects of Alcohol Control Policies on Interpersonal Violence.关于现有研究报告的综述,这些研究报告表明酒精获取的负面影响和酒精控制政策对人际暴力的积极影响。
Front Public Health. 2015 Nov 16;3:253. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2015.00253. eCollection 2015.
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Violence as a public health problem: an ecological study of 169 countries.暴力作为公共卫生问题:对 169 个国家的生态研究。
Soc Sci Med. 2014 Mar;104(100):220-7. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.12.006. Epub 2013 Dec 14.
10
The effectiveness of tax policy interventions for reducing excessive alcohol consumption and related harms.税收政策干预措施对于减少过度饮酒和相关危害的有效性。
Am J Prev Med. 2010 Feb;38(2):217-29. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2009.11.005.