SILC Business School, Shanghai University, China.
Department of Psychology, University of Pennsylvania, United States.
Cogn Psychol. 2023 May;142:101562. doi: 10.1016/j.cogpsych.2023.101562. Epub 2023 Mar 28.
Intertemporal decision models describe choices between outcomes with different delays. While these models mainly focus on predicting choices, they make implicit assumptions about how people acquire and process information. A link between information processing and choice model predictions is necessary for a complete mechanistic account of decision making. We establish this link by fitting 18 intertemporal choice models to experimental datasets with both choice and information acquisition data. First, we show that choice models have highly correlated fits: people that behave according to one model also behave according to other models that make similar information processing assumptions. Second, we develop and fit an attention model to information acquisition data. Critically, the attention model parameters predict which type of intertemporal choice models best describes a participant's choices. Overall, our results relate attentional processes to models of intertemporal choice, providing a stepping stone towards a complete mechanistic account of intertemporal decision making.
跨期决策模型描述了具有不同延迟的结果之间的选择。虽然这些模型主要侧重于预测选择,但它们对人们如何获取和处理信息做出了隐含的假设。要对决策做出完整的机械解释,就必须在信息处理和选择模型预测之间建立联系。我们通过将 18 个跨期选择模型拟合到具有选择和信息获取数据的实验数据集上来建立这种联系。首先,我们表明选择模型的拟合高度相关:根据一种模型进行行为的人也会根据其他做出类似信息处理假设的模型进行行为。其次,我们开发并拟合了一个注意模型来获取信息。关键是,注意模型参数可以预测哪种跨期选择模型最能描述参与者的选择。总的来说,我们的研究结果将注意力过程与跨期选择模型联系起来,为跨期决策的完整机械解释提供了一个踏脚石。