Chlabicz Maciej, Lech Maksymilian, Święcicki Maciej, Zajkowska Joanna
Students Research Group at the Department of Infectious Diseases and Neuroinfections, University Clinical Hospital in Bialystok.
Department of Infectious Diseases and Neuroinfections, University Teaching Hospital in Bialystok.
Przegl Epidemiol. 2022;76(4):469-480. doi: 10.32394/pe.76.44.
The course of COVID-19 pandemic in specific regions is affected by a variety of factors. Out of them, the one of the most significant is vaccination coverage among the population. This parameter in the first year of the vaccination program (2021), was particularly low in Podlaskie Voivodeship, compared to the whole country.
The aim of this study is to trace the factors influencing the course of the COVID-19 pandemic in Podlaskie Voivodeship in 2021 in order to better prepare the region for possible future waves of COVID-19 infection.
The paper is based on a retrospective analysis of mortality and incidence of COVID-19 in the Podlaskie Voivodeship and Polish population in 2021. The data was obtained from the ministerial platform - BASiW, and Statistics Poland (GUS). A similar analysis was also performed for the University Clinical Hospital in Białystok (later to be referred as USK), using its own patient data.
COVID-19 mortality rate in 2021 was 10% higher in Podlaskie Voivodeship than in the general population of Poland. There is a slight positive correlation between this indicator and multigenerational family occurrence (i. e. proportion of households with inhabitants older than 65, which is significantly higher in Podlaskie). However, the main reason for the excess deaths was probably the lower immunization rate of Podlaskie Voivodeships inhabitants than of Poles in general - 41,6% at the beginning of autumn wave (37th week of the year) vs. 50,3%. It was also shown that the vaccine in the Podlaskie Voivodeship population is less effective in reducing the risk of infection and death from COVID-19 than in the nationwide population, but this is not due to the significant differences in Podlaskie Voivodeships health status or demographics. For unknown reasons, women of working age in Podlaskie Voivodeship turn out to be less likely to die from COVID-19 than a similar group in the entire Polish population, while men - more. In the autumn wave of cases in 2021 (the fourth wave of the pandemic in general) compared to the spring (III) wave, an increase in the mortality of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in the USK in Białystok was from 12% to 19%.
Considering the weakened efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccine in Podlaskie Voivodeship, more emphasis should be placed on the prevention of civilisation diseases and the sanitary regime in the elderly population, so that the next waves of the pandemic do not bring excess deaths.
新冠疫情在特定地区的发展进程受到多种因素影响。其中,最重要的因素之一是人群中的疫苗接种覆盖率。在疫苗接种计划的第一年(2021年),与全国相比,波德拉谢省的这一参数特别低。
本研究旨在追踪2021年影响波德拉谢省新冠疫情发展进程的因素,以便该地区更好地为未来可能出现的新冠感染浪潮做好准备。
本文基于对2021年波德拉谢省和波兰人口中新冠死亡率和发病率的回顾性分析。数据来自部长级平台——BASiW以及波兰中央统计局(GUS)。同时,利用比亚韦斯托克大学临床医院(以下简称USK)自身的患者数据,对其进行了类似分析。
2021年,波德拉谢省的新冠死亡率比波兰总人口高10%。该指标与多代同堂家庭的出现情况(即有65岁以上居民的家庭比例,在波德拉谢省显著更高)之间存在轻微正相关。然而,死亡人数过多的主要原因可能是波德拉谢省居民的免疫接种率低于波兰总体水平——秋季疫情波(当年第37周)开始时为41.6%,而波兰总体水平为50.3%。研究还表明,波德拉谢省人群中的疫苗在降低新冠感染和死亡风险方面的效果不如全国人群,但这并非由于波德拉谢省的健康状况或人口统计学存在显著差异。出于未知原因,波德拉谢省工作年龄的女性死于新冠的可能性低于波兰全体人口中的类似群体,而男性则相反。与春季(第三)波相比,在2021年秋季病例波(总体上是疫情的第四波)中,比亚韦斯托克USK医院中因新冠住院患者的死亡率从12%升至19%。
鉴于新冠疫苗在波德拉谢省的效力减弱,应更加重视老年人群中文明病的预防和卫生制度,以便未来几波疫情不会导致过多死亡。