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一项针对中国武汉新冠疫情爆发的交通政策响应的社交媒体数据驱动分析。

A social media Data-Driven analysis for transport policy response to the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak in Wuhan, China.

作者信息

Zha Wenbin, Ye Qian, Li Jian, Ozbay Kaan

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of the Ministry of Education, Tongji University, 4800 Cao'an Road, Shanghai 201804, China.

Transport Planning and Research Institute of Ministry of Transport P.R. China, Beijing 100028, China, Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of the Ministry of Education, Tongji University, 4800 Cao'an Road, Shanghai 201804, China.

出版信息

Transp Res Part A Policy Pract. 2023 Jun;172:103669. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2023.103669. Epub 2023 Mar 29.

Abstract

Non-pharmacological interventions (NPI) such as social distancing and lockdown are essential in preventing and controlling emerging pandemic outbreaks. Many countries worldwide implemented lockdowns during the COVID-19 outbreaks. However, due to the lack of prior experience and knowledge about the pandemic, it is challenging to deal with short-term polices decision-making due to the highly stochastic and dynamic nature of the COVID-19. Thus, there is a need for the exploration of policy decision analysis to help agencies to adjust their current policies and adopt quickly. In this study, an analytical methodology is developed to analysis urban transport policy response for pandemic control based on social media data. Compared to traditional surveys or interviews, social media can provide timely data based on the feedback from public in terms of public demands, opinions, and acceptance of policy implementations. In particular, a sentiment-aware pre-trained language model is fine-tuned for sentiment analysis of policy. The Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model is used to classify documents, e.g., posts collected from social media, into specific topics in an unsupervised manner. Then, entropy weights method (EWM) is used to extract public policy demands based on the classified topics. Meanwhile, a Jaccard distance-based approach is proposed to conduct the response analysis of policy adjustments. A retrospective analysis of transport policies during the COVID-19 pandemic in Wuhan, China is presented using the developed methodology. The results show that the developed policymaking support methodology can be an effective tool to evaluate the acceptance of anti-pandemic policies from the public's perspective, to assess the balance between policies and people's demands, and to further perform the response analysis of a series of policy adjustments based on online feedback.

摘要

社交距离和封锁等非药物干预措施对于预防和控制新出现的大流行病爆发至关重要。在新冠疫情爆发期间,全球许多国家都实施了封锁措施。然而,由于缺乏关于该大流行病的先前经验和知识,鉴于新冠疫情的高度随机性和动态性,应对短期政策决策具有挑战性。因此,需要探索政策决策分析,以帮助各机构调整其现行政策并迅速采用。在本研究中,开发了一种分析方法,用于基于社交媒体数据分析城市交通政策对疫情控制的应对。与传统调查或访谈相比,社交媒体可以根据公众在公共需求、意见和对政策实施的接受度方面的反馈提供及时数据。特别是,对一个情感感知预训练语言模型进行微调,用于政策的情感分析。潜在狄利克雷分配(LDA)模型用于以无监督方式将文档(例如从社交媒体收集的帖子)分类到特定主题中。然后,使用熵权法(EWM)基于分类主题提取公共政策需求。同时,提出了一种基于杰卡德距离的方法来进行政策调整的响应分析。使用所开发的方法对中国武汉新冠疫情期间的交通政策进行了回顾性分析。结果表明,所开发的政策制定支持方法可以成为从公众角度评估抗疫政策接受度、评估政策与民众需求之间平衡以及基于在线反馈进一步进行一系列政策调整响应分析的有效工具。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5497/10050287/ee6911e53402/gr1_lrg.jpg

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