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巴西先天性梅毒 5 岁以下儿童死亡率:全国队列研究。

Mortality in children under 5 years of age with congenital syphilis in Brazil: A nationwide cohort study.

机构信息

London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

Centro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde (CIDACS), FIOCRUZ, Salvador, Bahia, Brasil.

出版信息

PLoS Med. 2023 Apr 7;20(4):e1004209. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004209. eCollection 2023 Apr.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Congenital syphilis (CS) is a major and avoidable cause of neonatal death worldwide. In this study, we aimed to estimate excess all-cause mortality in children under 5 years with CS compared to those without CS.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

In this population-based cohort study, we used linked, routinely collected data from Brazil from January 2011 to December 2017. Cox survival models were adjusted for maternal region of residence, maternal age, education, material status, self-declared race and newborn sex, and year of birth and stratified according to maternal treatment status, non-treponemal titers and presence of signs and symptoms at birth. Over 7 years, a total of 20 057 013 live-born children followed up (through linkage) to 5 years of age, 93 525 were registered with CS, and 2 476 died. The all-cause mortality rate in the CS group was 7·84/1 000 person-years compared with 2·92/1 000 person-years in children without CS, crude hazard ratio (HR) = 2·41 (95% CI 2·31 to 2·50). In the fully adjusted model, the highest under-five mortality risk was observed among children with CS from untreated mothers HR = 2·82 (95% CI 2·63 to 3·02), infants with non-treponemal titer higher than 1:64 HR = 8·87 (95% CI 7·70 to 10·22), and children with signs and symptoms at birth HR = 7·10 (95% CI 6·60 to 7·63). Among children registered with CS, CS was recorded as the underlying cause of death in 33% (495/1 496) of neonatal, 11% (85/770) of postneonatal, and 2·9% (6/210) of children 1 year of age. The main limitations of this study were the use of a secondary database without additional clinical information and the potential misclassification of exposure status.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed an increased mortality risk among children with CS that goes beyond the first year of life. It also reinforces the importance of maternal treatment that infant non-treponemal titers and the presence of signs and symptoms of CS at birth are strongly associated with subsequent mortality.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Observational study.

摘要

背景

先天性梅毒(CS)是全球范围内导致新生儿死亡的一个主要且可预防的原因。本研究旨在评估 CS 患儿与无 CS 患儿相比,5 岁以下全因死亡的超额风险。

方法和发现

在这项基于人群的队列研究中,我们使用了巴西 2011 年 1 月至 2017 年 12 月期间的关联、常规收集的数据。使用 Cox 生存模型调整了母亲居住地区、母亲年龄、教育程度、物质状况、自我申报的种族和新生儿性别、出生年份,以及根据母亲治疗状况、非梅毒螺旋体滴度和出生时有无症状和体征进行分层。7 年间,共有 20057013 例活产儿接受了 5 年的随访(通过链接),其中 93525 例被诊断为 CS,2476 例死亡。CS 组的全因死亡率为 7.84/1000 人年,而无 CS 患儿的全因死亡率为 2.92/1000 人年,粗发病率比(HR)为 2.41(95%CI 2.31 至 2.50)。在完全调整的模型中,来自未经治疗母亲的 CS 患儿的 5 岁以下死亡率风险最高,HR = 2.82(95%CI 2.63 至 3.02);非梅毒螺旋体滴度高于 1:64 的婴儿,HR = 8.87(95%CI 7.70 至 10.22);出生时有症状和体征的婴儿,HR = 7.10(95%CI 6.60 至 7.63)。在诊断为 CS 的患儿中,CS 作为新生儿死亡的根本原因记录在案的占 33%(495/1496),作为早产儿死亡的根本原因记录在案的占 11%(85/770),作为 1 岁以下儿童死亡的根本原因记录在案的占 2.9%(6/210)。本研究的主要局限性是使用二级数据库,缺乏额外的临床信息,以及潜在的暴露状况分类错误。

结论

本研究表明,CS 患儿的死亡风险增加,且这种风险超过了 1 岁。这也再次强调了母亲治疗的重要性,婴儿非梅毒螺旋体滴度和 CS 出生时的症状和体征与随后的死亡率密切相关。

试验注册

观察性研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fc1d/10081765/f9c3cbc1f977/pmed.1004209.g001.jpg

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