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通过平缓感染曲线实现基于网络的疫情控制:高聚集度与低聚集度社交网络

Network-based control of epidemic via flattening the infection curve: high-clustered vs. low-clustered social networks.

作者信息

Doostmohammadian Mohammadreza, Rabiee Hamid R

机构信息

Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran.

School of Electrical Engineering, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland.

出版信息

Soc Netw Anal Min. 2023;13(1):60. doi: 10.1007/s13278-023-01070-3. Epub 2023 Apr 2.

Abstract

Recent studies in network science and control have shown a meaningful relationship between the epidemic processes (e.g., COVID-19 spread) and some network properties. This paper studies how such network properties, namely clustering coefficient and centrality measures (or node influence metrics), affect the spread of viruses and the growth of epidemics over scale-free networks. The results can be used to target individuals (the nodes in the network) to . This so-called flattening of the infection curve is to reduce the health service costs and burden to the authorities/governments. Our Monte-Carlo simulation results show that clustered networks are, in general, easier to flatten the infection curve, i.e., with the same connectivity and the same number of isolated individuals they result in more flattened curves. Moreover, distance-based centrality measures, which target the nodes based on their average network distance to other nodes (and not the node degrees), are better choices for targeting individuals for isolation/vaccination.

摘要

近期网络科学与控制领域的研究表明,流行病传播过程(如新冠病毒传播)与某些网络属性之间存在有意义的关联。本文研究了此类网络属性,即聚类系数和中心性度量(或节点影响力指标)如何影响无标度网络上病毒的传播以及疫情的发展。研究结果可用于针对个体(网络中的节点)采取措施。这种所谓的平缓感染曲线,旨在降低卫生服务成本以及当局/政府的负担。我们的蒙特卡洛模拟结果表明,一般而言,聚类网络更容易平缓感染曲线,即在相同连通性和相同数量隔离个体的情况下,它们能产生更平缓的曲线。此外,基于距离的中心性度量,即根据节点到其他节点的平均网络距离(而非节点度数)来确定目标节点,是针对个体进行隔离/接种疫苗的更好选择。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e510/10067524/357656668fa1/13278_2023_1070_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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