Guedegbe Tharcisse, Adelaja Adesoji, George Justin
Africa Fellow and Consultant at the World Bank, Washington DC, USA.
Department of Agricultural, Food and Resource Economics (AFRE), Michigan State University (MSU), East Lansing, MI, USA.
World Dev. 2023 Aug;168:106254. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106254. Epub 2023 Apr 6.
Policy measures aimed at containing the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic had unintended consequences on economic activities globally. In this study, we isolate and investigate the short-term partial impacts of six such measures on the farm and nonfarm incomes of agricultural households and examine the related resilience factors. Using Nigeria as a case study, we find that the COVID containment measures had mixed effects on farm and non-farm incomes in the short run. These varying effects are due to households' resilience and vulnerability factors, including land size, wealth, income diversification, involvement in processing activities, and reliance on hired labor. Our findings highlight the need for more targeted health crisis containment measures which consider the uniqueness, diversity, and regional heterogeneity of agriculture, especially the potential implications for farm viability.
旨在遏制新冠疫情传播的政策措施对全球经济活动产生了意想不到的后果。在本研究中，我们分离并调查了其中六项措施对农业家庭农场收入和非农场收入的短期局部影响，并考察了相关的恢复力因素。以尼日利亚为例，我们发现新冠疫情防控措施在短期内对农场收入和非农场收入产生了好坏参半的影响。这些不同的影响归因于家庭的恢复力和脆弱性因素，包括土地规模、财富、收入多样化、参与加工活动以及对雇佣劳动力的依赖。我们的研究结果凸显了采取更具针对性的健康危机防控措施的必要性，这些措施应考虑到农业的独特性、多样性和区域异质性，尤其是对农场生存能力的潜在影响。
