Jennings Will, Valgarðsson Viktor, McKay Lawrence, Stoker Gerry, Mello Eduardo, Baniamin Hasan Muhammad
University of Southampton, UK.
Fundação Getulio Vargas, Brazil.
Vaccine X. 2023 Aug;14:100299. doi: 10.1016/j.jvacx.2023.100299. Epub 2023 Apr 6.
Previous studies of vaccine hesitancy in the context of COVID-19 have reported mixed results in terms of the role played by political and institutional trust. This study addresses this ambiguity with a global analysis of the relationship between trust and vaccine hesitancy, disentangling the effects of generalized trust orientations, trust in specific institutions and conspiracy mentality. It first draws upon a cross-national survey of 113 countries to demonstrate that trust in government is a predictor of vaccine hesitancy across global regions. It further draws on original surveys fielded in seven countries (France, Germany, Spain, Argentina, Croatia, Brazil, India), which deploy a diverse range of measures, to disentangle the individual-level predictors of vaccine hesitancy. Our findings confirm the robust effects of trust in government across countries, but when including other trust measures in the same models, the most robust effects are those of trust in health institutions and conspiracy mentality. Weaker associations are observed for right-wing ideology and online political engagement, while the consumption of traditional media tends to predict the willingness of individuals to be vaccinated.
此前关于新冠疫情背景下疫苗犹豫的研究，在政治和机构信任所起的作用方面得出了参差不齐的结果。本研究通过对信任与疫苗犹豫之间的关系进行全球分析，解决了这一模糊问题，厘清了广义信任倾向、对特定机构的信任以及阴谋心态的影响。它首先利用对113个国家的跨国调查表明，对政府的信任是全球各地区疫苗犹豫的一个预测因素。它进一步借鉴在七个国家（法国、德国、西班牙、阿根廷、克罗地亚、巴西、印度）进行的原始调查，这些调查采用了多种措施，以厘清疫苗犹豫的个体层面预测因素。我们的研究结果证实了各国对政府信任的强劲影响，但在同一模型中纳入其他信任指标时，最显著的影响是对卫生机构的信任和阴谋心态的影响。右翼意识形态和在线政治参与的关联较弱，而传统媒体的消费往往能预测个人接种疫苗的意愿。
