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基于改进的水母搜索优化器的长短时记忆神经网络的成都空气质量预测。

Air quality prediction for Chengdu based on long short-term memory neural network with improved jellyfish search optimizer.

机构信息

School of Physics and Electronic Engineering, Sichuan Normal University, Chengdu, 610101, Sichuan, China.

Meteorological Information and Signal Processing Key Laboratory of Sichuan Higher Education Institutes, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, 610225, Sichuan, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 May;30(23):64416-64442. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-26782-z. Epub 2023 Apr 17.

Abstract

Air quality prediction plays an important role in preventing air pollution and improving living environment. For this prediction, many indicators can be employed to reflect the air quality, among which air quality index (AQI) is the most commonly used. However, existing methods are relatively simple and the corresponding prediction accuracy needs to be improved. Particularly, the prediction accuracy is affected by the parameter selection of methods, and the corresponding optimization problems are usually non-convex and multi-modal. Therefore, based on long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network with improved jellyfish search optimizer (IJSO), a novel hybrid model denoted by IJSO-LSTM is proposed to predict AQI for Chengdu. In order to evaluate the optimizing ability of IJSO, other variants of jellyfish search optimizer as well as other state-of-the-art meta-heuristic algorithms are applied to optimize the hyperparameters of LSTM neural network for comparison, and the results confirm that IJSO is more suitable for optimizing LSTM neural network. In addition, compared with other well-known models, the results demonstrate IJSO-LSTM has higher prediction accuracy with root-mean-square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error controlling below 4, 3, and 4%, respectively.

摘要

空气质量预测在预防空气污染和改善生活环境方面发挥着重要作用。为此,许多指标可用于反映空气质量,其中空气质量指数(AQI)是最常用的。然而,现有的方法相对简单,相应的预测精度有待提高。特别是,预测精度受到方法参数选择的影响,相应的优化问题通常是非凸和多模态的。因此,基于改进的水母搜索优化器(IJSO)的长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络,提出了一种用于预测成都 AQI 的新型混合模型,记为 IJSO-LSTM。为了评估 IJSO 的优化能力,将其他变体的水母搜索优化器以及其他最先进的元启发式算法应用于 LSTM 神经网络的超参数优化进行比较,结果证实 IJSO 更适合优化 LSTM 神经网络。此外,与其他知名模型相比,IJSO-LSTM 的预测精度更高,其均方根误差、平均绝对误差和平均绝对百分比误差分别控制在 4、3 和 4%以下。

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