Behboudian Massoud, Kerachian Reza, Motlaghzadeh Kasra, Ashrafi Saeed
Department of Sustainable Development, Environmental Science and Engineering (SEED), KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.
School of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
MethodsX. 2023 Mar 23;10:102130. doi: 10.1016/j.mex.2023.102130. eCollection 2023.
In this paper, a methodology is presented for managing hydrological ecosystem services by taking into account the hierarchy of stakeholders involved in the decision-making process. With this in mind, a water allocation model is first used for allocating water resources to demands. Then, several ecosystem services (ESs)-based criteria are defined to evaluate hydrological ESs of water resources management policies. A set of water and environmental resources management strategies (alternatives) are defined for decision-makers, and several drought management strategies are determined to decrease the area of key crops and water demands of agricultural nodes. To model a multi-agent multi-criteria decision-making problem for managing hydrological ESs, three main steps are considered as follows:•Different ES-based criteria (i.e., economic profit, NPP, and ecological index) are defined, and their grade-based values are estimated.•Several strategies are defined for stakeholders at different levels.•A recursive evidential reasoning (ER) approach, which considers a hierarchical structure for decision-makers and a leader-follower game, is used to select the best strategy for each decision-maker.The applicability and efficiency of the methodology are illustrated by applying it to a real-world case study. The methodology is general and can be easily applied to other study areas.
本文提出了一种通过考虑决策过程中利益相关者的层次结构来管理水文生态系统服务的方法。考虑到这一点，首先使用水资源分配模型将水资源分配给各种需求。然后，定义了几个基于生态系统服务（ESs）的标准，以评估水资源管理政策的水文生态系统服务。为决策者定义了一套水资源和环境资源管理策略（备选方案），并确定了几种干旱管理策略，以减少主要农作物种植面积和农业节点的需水量。为了对管理水文生态系统服务的多智能体多标准决策问题进行建模，考虑了以下三个主要步骤：
定义不同的基于生态系统服务的标准（即经济利润、净初级生产力和生态指数），并估计其基于等级的值。
为不同层次的利益相关者定义几种策略。
使用一种递归证据推理（ER）方法，该方法考虑了决策者的层次结构和领导者-追随者博弈，为每个决策者选择最佳策略。
通过将该方法应用于一个实际案例研究，说明了该方法的适用性和有效性。该方法具有通用性，可轻松应用于其他研究领域。
