Department of Medicine, University of California, Davis, Sacramento.
Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle.
Am J Med. 2023 Aug;136(8):789-795.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2023.03.036. Epub 2023 Apr 24.
Comorbidities like coronary heart disease are common among older people who sustain an osteoporotic hip fracture. However, their impact on short- and long-term mortality post-hip fracture is not well quantified.
We examined 4092 and 1173 older adults without and with prevalent coronary heart disease, respectively. Post-hip fracture mortality rates were computed with Poisson models and hazard ratios with Cox regression. For perspective, we compared mortality rates among participants with prevalent coronary heart disease who had either a hip fracture or incident heart failure (but no hip fracture).
Among participants without prevalent coronary heart disease, the mortality rate post-hip fracture was 21.83 per 100 participant years, including 49.27 per 100 participant years in the first 6 months following hip fracture. Among participants with prevalent coronary heart disease, the corresponding mortality rates were 32.52 and 79.44 per 100 participant years, respectively. Participants with prevalent coronary heart disease and incident heart failure (but no hip fracture) had corresponding post-incident heart failure mortality rates per 100 participant years of 25.62 overall and 46.4 in the first 6 months. In all 3 groups, the hazard ratio for mortality was similarly elevated: 5- to 7-fold at 6 months and 1.7- to 2.5-fold beyond 5 years.
As a case study in the absolute effects of a comorbidity on post-hip fracture mortality, hip fracture in a person with coronary heart disease carries an exceedingly high mortality rate, even higher than that following incident heart failure in individuals with coronary heart disease.
患有冠心病等合并症的老年人容易发生骨质疏松性髋部骨折。然而,这些合并症对髋部骨折后短期和长期死亡率的影响尚未得到充分评估。
我们分别纳入了 4092 名和 1173 名无和有冠心病的老年人。采用泊松模型计算髋部骨折后的死亡率,并采用 Cox 回归计算风险比。为了便于比较,我们比较了患有冠心病且发生心力衰竭(但无髋部骨折)或有髋部骨折的参与者的死亡率。
在无冠心病的参与者中,髋部骨折后 6 个月内的死亡率为 21.83/100 人年,其中第 1 个 6 个月的死亡率为 49.27/100 人年。在有冠心病的参与者中,相应的死亡率分别为 32.52 和 79.44/100 人年。患有冠心病和心力衰竭(但无髋部骨折)的参与者发生心力衰竭后的死亡率分别为 25.62/100 人年和 46.4/100 人年。在所有 3 组中,死亡率的风险比均相似升高:6 个月时为 5 至 7 倍,5 年后为 1.7 至 2.5 倍。
作为合并症对髋部骨折后死亡率的绝对影响的案例研究,冠心病患者发生髋部骨折后的死亡率极高,甚至高于冠心病患者发生心力衰竭后的死亡率。