Peng Mei, Hu Maozi, Peng Xiaolu, Gong Yuan, Qian Keli, Li Junnan, Zhao Jinqiu, Li Xiang, Huang Jing, Zhang Meng, Chai Lili, Chen Li, Zhang Dan, Peng Li
Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Gastroenterology Department, Jiulongpo District Hospital of Chongqing, Chongqing, China.
Heliyon. 2023 May;9(5):e15679. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15679. Epub 2023 Apr 24.
Despite the increasing reports of re-positive SARS-CoV-2 cases after recovery and discharge from hospitals, our knowledge remains very limited regarding the contributing factors of re-positivity and its roles in the transmission and epidemiology of the Omicron variant.
In this retrospective study, re-positivity is defined as the positive nucleic acid result (Ct < 35) following two consecutive negative results during hospitalization. A total of 751 patients from Shanghai Shelter Cabin Hospital were enrolled and divided with a ratio of about 1:2 into the re-positivity group and the non-re-positivity group. Patients required three consecutive negative results daily as the de-isolation criterion. The follow-up time of discharged patients lasted five weeks. Univariate regression analysis was used to compare variables between the re-positivity and non-re-positivity groups, and the single re-positivity and multiple re-positivity groups, with P < 0.05 defined as the statistical significance of differences. Subsequently, variables with P < 0.2 were subjected to multivariate logistic regression analysis to investigate the odds ratio (OR) of re-positivity and the influencing factors of re-positivity of the Omicron variant.
The re-positivity group had a higher proportion of males (68.1% vs 58.1%, p = 0.000), a higher education level (31.9% vs 12.7%, p = 0.007), a longer hospitalization duration (13 days vs 8 days, p = 0.000), and a higher Convidecia vaccination rate (6.0% vs 2.4%, p = 0.011). Further multivariable analysis showed male (OR = 2.168, p = 0.000), Convidecia vaccination (OR = 2.634, p = 0.014), hospitalization duration (OR = 2.146, p = 0.000) and education level (OR = 1.595, p = 0.007) were associated with re-positivity. The average rate of re-positivity was 25% during hospitalization and decreased to 0.4% among discharged patients. Re-positivity was more common in the period with a larger number of hospitalized patients and in larger wards with a larger number of patients.
A large number of hospitalized patients, large-sized wards, and gender are significant contributing factors to re-positivity. Division of the shelter cabin hospital into small independent wards and requirement of three consecutive results daily as the de-isolation criterion might be more beneficial to the control and prevention of the spread of the Omicron variant.
尽管医院康复出院后新冠病毒二次阳性病例的报道日益增多,但我们对二次阳性的影响因素及其在奥密克戎变异株传播和流行病学中的作用仍知之甚少。
在这项回顾性研究中,二次阳性定义为住院期间连续两次核酸检测阴性后核酸结果呈阳性(Ct<35)。共纳入上海方舱医院751例患者,按约1:2的比例分为二次阳性组和非二次阳性组。患者每日需连续三次核酸检测阴性作为解除隔离标准。出院患者的随访时间持续五周。采用单因素回归分析比较二次阳性组与非二次阳性组、单次二次阳性组与多次二次阳性组之间的变量,P<0.05定义为差异具有统计学意义。随后,对P<0.2的变量进行多因素logistic回归分析,以研究奥密克戎变异株二次阳性的比值比(OR)及影响因素。
二次阳性组男性比例较高(68.1%对58.1%,p = 0.000),文化程度较高(31.9%对12.7%,p = 0.007),住院时间较长(13天对8天,p = 0.000),康希诺疫苗接种率较高(6.0%对2.4%,p = 0.011)。进一步多因素分析显示,男性(OR =
2.168,p = 0.000)、康希诺疫苗接种(OR = 2.634,p = 0.014)、住院时间(OR = 2.146,p = 0.000)和文化程度(OR = 1.595,p = 0.007)与二次阳性相关。住院期间二次阳性平均发生率为25%,出院患者中降至0.4%。二次阳性在住院患者数量较多的时期以及患者数量较多的大病房中更为常见。
大量住院患者、大病房和性别是二次阳性的重要影响因素。将方舱医院划分为小型独立病房,并要求每日连续三次检测结果作为解除隔离标准,可能更有利于控制和预防奥密克戎变异株的传播。