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新冠疫情阴影下的有效风险管理:印尼上市公司的证据

Effective risk management in the shadow of COVID-19 pandemic: The evidence of Indonesian listed corporations.

作者信息

Huang Jun, Kombate Bienmali, Li Yun, Kouadio Konan Richard, Xie Peijun

机构信息

School of Business Administration, Hunan University, Changsha City, Hunan Province, 410082, PR China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 May;9(5):e15744. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15744. Epub 2023 Apr 29.

Abstract

The study uses COVID-19 to identify the treatment group as the difference in change of non-financial corporations (NFCs) risk management ratios over time to investigate the causal effect of the NFCs' effective risk management (ERM) practices on operational efficiency (OE). ERM was measured by solvency and liquidity ratios, while the risk management theory was developed to refine the scope of the study. The data were collected from the central bank of Indonesia to map the empirical analysis, and the difference in difference (DID) technique was used to illustrate how NFCs react to mitigate the negative impact of COVID-19 and generate OE. Specifically, a quasi-natural experiment was used to size the effect of ERM practices on corporate OE during the COVID-19 pandemic. The descriptive analysis revealed that the COVID-19 pandemic effect has been unequal across different industrial sectors. Moreover, the empirical findings showed that corporate risk management during COVID-19 is the source of structural change, which affects its existence and operational efficiency. While debt amount and age may affect corporate credit score, ERM practices led the indebted corporation to the flexibility of debt refinancing or/and restructuring, which offers them the ability to prevent bankruptcy and adapt to the changes while operating efficiently. The finding revealed evidence of the important role of long-term debt in offering protection to NFCs during the credit supply shock brought in by the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the findings show that long-term debt is negatively associated with corporate OE. This was expected given that corporations use long-term debt financing for long-term investment, while short-term debt funds the working capital. Thus, to assess the effect of debts on corporate OE, managers should consider their maturity structure, among other factors.

摘要

该研究以新冠疫情为背景,将非金融企业(NFCs)风险管理比率随时间的变化差异作为划分治疗组的依据,以调查NFCs有效风险管理(ERM)实践对运营效率(OE)的因果效应。ERM通过偿付能力和流动性比率来衡量,同时构建风险管理理论以细化研究范围。数据从印度尼西亚中央银行收集以进行实证分析,并采用双重差分(DID)技术来说明NFCs如何应对以减轻新冠疫情的负面影响并产生运营效率。具体而言,采用准自然实验来衡量ERM实践在新冠疫情期间对企业运营效率的影响。描述性分析表明,新冠疫情对不同工业部门的影响并不均衡。此外,实证结果表明,新冠疫情期间的企业风险管理是结构变化的根源,这会影响企业的存续和运营效率。虽然债务金额和期限可能会影响企业信用评分,但ERM实践使负债企业能够灵活进行债务再融资或/和重组,从而使其有能力防止破产并在高效运营的同时适应变化。研究结果揭示了长期债务在新冠疫情引发的信贷供应冲击期间为NFCs提供保护方面的重要作用。此外,研究结果表明长期债务与企业运营效率呈负相关。考虑到企业使用长期债务融资进行长期投资,而短期债务用于为营运资金融资,这一结果是意料之中的。因此,为评估债务对企业运营效率的影响,管理者应考虑债务期限结构等因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5a4c/10176081/df0943088ae6/gr1.jpg

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