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降钙素原对 COVID-19 合并感染的预测价值:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Predictive values of procalcitonin for coinfections in patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Geriatrics, Peking University First Hospital, Xishiku Avenue No 8, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100034, China.

出版信息

Virol J. 2023 May 8;20(1):92. doi: 10.1186/s12985-023-02042-x.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To assess the ability of procalcitonin (PCT)-a promising marker for coinfections-to predict coinfections in patients with COVID-19.

METHODS

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane, the China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang were searched to identify eligible studies (up to August 30, 2021). Articles that reported the predictive value of PCT for coinfections in patients with COVID-19 were included. Individual and pooled sensitivities and specificities were reported, and I was used to test heterogeneity. This study was prospectively registered on the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) database (registration number: CRD42021283344).

RESULTS

Five studies involving a total of 2775 patients reported the predictive value of PCT for coinfections in patients with COVID-19. The sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve of PCT in predicting coinfections in the pooled studies were 0.60 (95% CI 0.35-0.81, I = 88.85), 0.71 (95% CI 0.58-0.81, I = 87.82), and 0.72(95% CI 0.68-0.76) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Although PCT has limited predictive value for coinfections in patients with COVID-19, lower PCT levels seem to indicate a decreased probability of having a coinfection.

摘要

目的

评估降钙素原(PCT)——一种用于合并感染的有前途的标志物——预测 COVID-19 患者合并感染的能力。

方法

本系统评价和荟萃分析检索了 PubMed、Embase、Web of Science、Cochrane、中国知网(CNKI)和万方,以确定合格的研究(截至 2021 年 8 月 30 日)。纳入报告 PCT 对 COVID-19 患者合并感染预测价值的文章。报告了个体和汇总的敏感性和特异性,并使用 I ² 检验异质性。本研究前瞻性地在国际前瞻性系统评价注册库(PROSPERO)数据库(注册号:CRD42021283344)中进行了注册。

结果

五项研究共纳入 2775 例患者,报告了 PCT 对 COVID-19 患者合并感染的预测价值。汇总研究中 PCT 预测合并感染的敏感性、特异性和曲线下面积分别为 0.60(95% CI 0.35-0.81,I²=88.85)、0.71(95% CI 0.58-0.81,I²=87.82)和 0.72(95% CI 0.68-0.76)。

结论

尽管 PCT 对 COVID-19 患者合并感染的预测价值有限,但较低的 PCT 水平似乎表明合并感染的可能性降低。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b38a/10169498/5ee311426e56/12985_2023_2042_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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