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2179例急性主动脉夹层患者院内死亡的危险因素。

Risk factors for in-hospital death in 2,179 patients with acute aortic dissection.

作者信息

Yuan Yue, Xia Zhiyu, Wang Lei, Sun Qi, Wang Wendan, Chai Chen, Wang Tiantian, Zhang Xiaowei, Wu Long, Tang Zehai

机构信息

Department of Emergency Medicine, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.

Department of Urology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.

出版信息

Front Cardiovasc Med. 2023 Apr 25;10:1159475. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2023.1159475. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

This study aims to investigate the risk factors for in-hospital death in patients with acute aortic dissection (AAD) and to provide a straightforward prediction model to assist clinicians in determining the outcome of AAD patients.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis was carried out on 2,179 patients admitted for AAD from March 5, 1999 to April 20, 2018 in Wuhan Union Hospital, China. The risk factors were investigated with univariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The patients were divided into two groups: Group A, 953patients (43.7%) with type A AAD; Group B, 1,226 patients (56.3%) with type B AAD. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 20.3% (194/953) and 4% (50/1,226) in Group A and B respectively. The multivariable analysis included the variables that were statistically significant predictors of in-hospital death ( < 0.05). In Group A, hypotension (OR = 2.01,  = 0.001) and liver dysfunction (OR = 12.95,  < 0.001) were independent risk factors. Tachycardia (OR = 6.08,  < 0.001) and liver dysfunction (OR = 6.36,  < 0.05) were independent risk factors for Group B mortality. The risk factors of Group A were assigned a score equal to their coefficients, and the score of -0.5 was the best point of the risk prediction model. Based on this analysis, we derived a predictive model to help clinicians determine the prognosis of type A AAD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

This study investigate the independent factors associated with in-hospital death in patients with type A or B aortic dissection, respectively. In addition, we develop the prediction of the prognosis for type A patients and assist clinicians in choosing treatment strategies.

摘要

背景

本研究旨在探讨急性主动脉夹层(AAD)患者院内死亡的危险因素,并提供一个简单的预测模型,以协助临床医生判断AAD患者的预后。

方法

对1999年3月5日至2018年4月20日在中国武汉协和医院收治的2179例AAD患者进行回顾性分析。采用单因素和多因素logistic回归分析研究危险因素。

结果

患者分为两组:A组,953例(43.7%)A型主动脉夹层患者;B组,1226例(56.3%)B型主动脉夹层患者。A组和B组的院内总死亡率分别为20.3%(194/953)和4%(50/1226)。多因素分析纳入了具有统计学意义的院内死亡预测变量(P<0.05)。在A组中,低血压(OR=2.01,P=0.001)和肝功能不全(OR=12.95,P<0.001)是独立危险因素。心动过速(OR=6.08,P<0.001)和肝功能不全(OR=6.36,P<0.05)是B组死亡的独立危险因素。A组的危险因素被赋予与其系数相等的分数,-0.5分是风险预测模型的最佳切点。基于此分析,我们得出了一个预测模型,以帮助临床医生判断A型主动脉夹层患者的预后。

结论

本研究分别探讨了与A型或B型主动脉夹层患者院内死亡相关的独立因素。此外,我们建立了A型患者预后的预测模型,并协助临床医生选择治疗策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/829c/10166791/a6fc66c9fd8d/fcvm-10-1159475-g001.jpg

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