Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.
Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Alzheimers Dement. 2023 Sep;19(9):4028-4036. doi: 10.1002/alz.13067. Epub 2023 May 18.
The challenge of accounting for practice effects (PEs) when modeling cognitive change was amplified by the COVID-19 pandemic, which introduced period and mode effects that may bias the estimation of cognitive trajectory.
In three Kaiser Permanente Northern California prospective cohorts, we compared predicted cognitive trajectories and the association of grip strength with cognitive decline using three approaches: (1) no acknowledgment of PE, (2) inclusion of a wave indicator, and (3) constraining PE based on a preliminary model (APM) fit using a subset of the data.
APM-based correction for PEs based on balanced, pre-pandemic data, and with current age as the timescale produced the smallest discrepancy between within-person and between-person estimated age effects. Estimated associations between grip strength and cognitive decline were not sensitive to the approach used.
Constraining PEs based on a preliminary model is a flexible, pragmatic approach allowing for meaningful interpretation of cognitive change.
The magnitude of practice effects (PEs) varied widely by study. When PEs were present, the three PE approaches resulted in divergent estimated age-related cognitive trajectories. Estimated age-related cognitive trajectories were sometimes implausible in models that did not account for PEs. The associations between grip strength and cognitive decline did not differ by the PE approach used. Constraining PEs based on estimates from a preliminary model allows for a meaningful interpretation of cognitive change.
在建模认知变化时,考虑实践效应 (PE) 的挑战因 COVID-19 大流行而加剧,该大流行引入了可能会影响认知轨迹估计的时期和模式效应。
在 Kaiser Permanente 北加州的三个前瞻性队列中,我们比较了三种方法的预测认知轨迹和握力与认知下降之间的关联:(1)不承认 PE,(2)包含波指示符,以及(3)基于使用数据子集的初步模型 (APM) 拟合来约束 PE。
基于平衡、大流行前数据的 APM 校正和当前年龄作为时间尺度产生了个体内和个体间估计年龄效应之间最小的差异。握力与认知下降之间的估计关联不受所使用方法的影响。
基于初步模型的约束 PE 是一种灵活、务实的方法,允许对认知变化进行有意义的解释。
实践效应 (PE) 的大小因研究而异。当存在 PE 时,三种 PE 方法会导致估计的与年龄相关的认知轨迹出现分歧。在不考虑 PE 的模型中,估计的与年龄相关的认知轨迹有时是不合理的。握力与认知下降之间的关联不受所使用的 PE 方法的影响。基于初步模型的估计来约束 PE 可以对认知变化进行有意义的解释。