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住院COVID-19患者的死亡预测因素以及抗SARS-CoV-2 IgG抗体和瑞德西韦的作用。

Mortality predictors in hospitalised COVID-19 patients and the role of anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies and remdesivir.

作者信息

Venturini Sergio, Orso Daniele, Cugini Francesco, Villalta Danilo, Tonizzo Maurizio, Grembiale Alessandro, Zanier Ada, Cecco Serena, Callegari Astrid, Duranti Silvia, Del Fabro Giovanni, Crapis Massimo

机构信息

Department of Infectious Diseases, ASFO "Santa Maria degli Angeli" Hospital of Pordenone, Pordenone, Italy.

Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, ASUFC "Santa Maria della Misericordia" University Hospital of Udine, Udine, Italy.

出版信息

Infez Med. 2023 Jun 1;31(2):215-224. doi: 10.53854/liim-3102-10. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In a pre-vaccination era serologic tests may be used to evaluate the seroprevalence and efficacy of containment strategies applied to the community. Subsequently, SARS-CoV-2 vaccination has successfully reduced hospitalization and admission to intensive care. The role of antiviral treatment for COVID-19 remains debated.

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the effect of SARS-CoV-2 IgG Spike (S) antibody responses in hospitalized patients on 30-day mortality. Finally, we assessed whether other predictive factors affected mortality after 30 days.

METHODS

Observational study on COVID-19 patients admitted from October 1, 2021, to January 30, 2022.

RESULTS

520 patients were studied; 108 died at the 30-day follow-up (21%). A borderline significance for mortality was observed in favour of the high antibody titer group (24% vs 17%, p=0.05). From the univariate Cox regression analysis, a high IgG-S titer was significantly correlated to lower 30-day mortality (p=0.04, HR: 0.7; 95%CI: 0.44-0.98). The administration of remdesivir (p=0.01) and the age <65 years (p=2.3e-05) were found to be protective for the considered outcome (respectively, HR: 0.5, 95%CI: 0.34-0.86, and HR: 0.1, 95%CI: 0.04-0.30).

CONCLUSIONS

S-antibodies and remdesivir could play a protecting role in increasing the survival of hospitalized COVID-19 patients who are not suffering from a critical disease. Advanced age is a risk factor for poor outcomes among infected people.

摘要

背景

在疫苗接种前的时代,血清学检测可用于评估应用于社区的防控策略的血清流行率和效果。随后,新冠病毒疫苗接种成功降低了住院率和重症监护病房的收治率。新冠病毒病抗病毒治疗的作用仍存在争议。

目的

我们研究了住院患者中新冠病毒IgG刺突(S)抗体反应对30天死亡率的影响。最后,我们评估了其他预测因素是否会影响30天后的死亡率。

方法

对2021年10月1日至2022年1月30日收治的新冠病毒病患者进行观察性研究。

结果

共研究了520例患者;在30天随访时有108例死亡(21%)。观察到高抗体滴度组在死亡率方面有临界显著性(24%对17%,p=0.05)。单因素Cox回归分析显示,高IgG-S滴度与较低的30天死亡率显著相关(p=0.04,风险比:0.7;95%置信区间:0.44-0.98)。发现使用瑞德西韦(p=0.01)和年龄<65岁(p=2.3×10⁻⁵)对所考虑的结局具有保护作用(风险比分别为:0.5,95%置信区间:0.34-0.86;以及风险比:0.1,95%置信区间:0.04-0.30)。

结论

S抗体和瑞德西韦可能在提高非危重症住院新冠病毒病患者的生存率方面发挥保护作用。高龄是感染者预后不良的一个危险因素。

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