University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester.
Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
JAMA Intern Med. 2023 Aug 1;183(8):784-792. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2023.2149.
The role of patient-level factors that are unrelated to the specific clinical condition leading to an emergency department (ED) visit, such as functional status, cognitive status, social supports, and geriatric syndromes, in admission decisions is not well understood, partly because these data are not available in administrative databases.
To determine the extent to which patient-level factors are associated with rates of hospital admission from the ED.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study analyzed survey data collected from participants (or their proxies, such as family members) enrolled in the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2018. These HRS data were linked to Medicare fee-for-service claims data from January 1, 1999, to December 31, 2018. Information on functional status, cognitive status, social supports, and geriatric syndromes was obtained from the HRS data, whereas ED visits, subsequent hospital admission or ED discharge, and other claims-derived comorbidities and sociodemographic characteristics were obtained from Medicare data. Data were analyzed from September 2021 to April 2023.
The primary outcome measure was hospital admission after an ED visit. A baseline logistic regression model was estimated, with a binary indicator of admission as the dependent variable of interest. For each primary variable of interest derived from the HRS data, the model was reestimated, including the HRS variable of interest as an independent variable. For each of these models, the odds ratio (OR) and average marginal effect (AME) of changing the value of the variable of interest were calculated.
A total of 42 392 ED visits by 11 783 unique patients were included. At the time of the ED visit, patients had a mean (SD) age of 77.4 (9.6) years, and visits were predominantly for female (25 719 visits [60.7%]) and White (32 148 visits [75.8%]) individuals. The overall percentage of patients admitted was 42.5%. After controlling for ED diagnosis and demographic characteristics, functional status, cognition status, and social supports all were associated with the likelihood of admission. For instance, difficulty performing 5 activities of daily living was associated with an 8.5-percentage point (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.29-1.66) AME increase in the likelihood of admission. Having dementia was associated with an AME increase in the likelihood of admission of 4.6 percentage points (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.14-1.33). Living with a spouse was associated with an AME decrease in the likelihood of admission of 3.9 percentage points (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.79-0.89), and having children living within 10 miles was associated with an AME decrease in the likelihood of admission of 5.0 percentage points (OR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.71-0.89). Other common geriatric syndromes, including trouble falling asleep, waking early, trouble with vision, glaucoma or cataract, use of hearing aids or trouble with hearing, falls in past 2 years, incontinence, depression, and polypharmacy, were not meaningfully associated with the likelihood of admission.
Results of this cohort study suggest that the key patient-level characteristics, including social supports, cognitive status, and functional status, were associated with the decision to admit older patients to the hospital from the ED. These factors are critical to consider when devising strategies to reduce low-value admissions among older adult patients from the ED.
导致急诊就诊的患者水平因素(如功能状态、认知状态、社会支持和老年综合征)与入院决策无关,但这些因素在一定程度上仍不清楚,部分原因是这些数据在行政数据库中不可用。
确定患者水平因素与从急诊就诊到住院的比率之间的关联程度。
设计、地点和参与者:这项队列研究分析了从 2000 年 1 月 1 日至 2018 年 12 月 31 日参加健康和退休研究(HRS)的参与者(或其代理人,如家庭成员)收集的调查数据。这些 HRS 数据与 1999 年 1 月 1 日至 2018 年 12 月 31 日的医疗保险费用数据相关联。功能状态、认知状态、社会支持和老年综合征的信息来自 HRS 数据,而 ED 就诊、随后的住院或 ED 出院以及其他从索赔中获得的合并症和社会人口特征则来自医疗保险数据。数据于 2021 年 9 月至 2023 年 4 月进行分析。
主要结局指标是 ED 就诊后的住院。使用入院作为感兴趣的因变量,估计了一个基本的逻辑回归模型。对于 HRS 数据中得出的每个主要变量,使用感兴趣的 HRS 变量作为独立变量重新估计了该模型。对于每个此类模型,计算了改变感兴趣变量的值的比值比(OR)和平均边际效应(AME)。
共纳入了 42392 次 ED 就诊,涉及 11783 名患者。在 ED 就诊时,患者的平均(SD)年龄为 77.4(9.6)岁,就诊者主要为女性(25719 次就诊[60.7%])和白人(32148 次就诊[75.8%])。总体住院率为 42.5%。在控制 ED 诊断和人口统计学特征后,功能状态、认知状态和社会支持均与入院的可能性相关。例如,完成 5 项日常活动有困难与入院可能性增加 8.5 个百分点(OR,1.47;95%CI,1.29-1.66)的 AME 相关。患有痴呆症与入院可能性增加 4.6 个百分点(OR,1.23;95%CI,1.14-1.33)的 AME 相关。与配偶同住与入院可能性降低 3.9 个百分点(OR,0.84;95%CI,0.79-0.89)相关,而与居住在 10 英里以内的子女同住与入院可能性降低 5.0 个百分点(OR,0.80;95%CI,0.71-0.89)相关。其他常见老年综合征,包括入睡困难、早醒、视力问题、青光眼或白内障、使用助听器或听力问题、过去 2 年内跌倒、失禁、抑郁和多药治疗,与入院的可能性没有明显关联。
这项队列研究的结果表明,关键的患者水平特征,包括社会支持、认知状态和功能状态,与将老年患者从 ED 收治到医院的决策相关。在制定策略以减少老年患者从 ED 低价值入院时,这些因素至关重要。