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加拿大国际移民与自杀死亡率的时间序列分析。

A time series analysis of international immigration and suicide mortality in Canada.

作者信息

Trovato F

出版信息

Int J Soc Psychiatry. 1986 Summer;32(2):38-46. doi: 10.1177/002076408603200205.

Abstract

A neglected topic concerning suicide as a sociological phenomenon is the relationship between international immigration and suicide mortality. This study examines the association between these variables using time series data for the period 1950 to 1982 in Canada. The central hypothesis, derived from the Durkheimian theory of social integration and suicide, is that the higher the immigration rate, the higher the rate of suicide. Two statistical controls, the unemployment rate and age composition, drawn from the "economic anomie" and "social demographic" perspectives respectively were introduced into a multiple regression model involving immigration and suicide. While some of the results in the initial stages of the analysis appear to contradict the established literature concerning the relevance of immigration and unemployment in predicting suicide, more refined breakdowns which allow for the separate investigation of male and female suicide propensities, generally support the social integration and economic anomie theories. It is concluded that the 15-34 male cohort is highly sensitive to changes in their economic prospects and in their immigration experience and therefore, have higher suicide rates than women in the same age group.

摘要

作为一种社会现象,自杀的一个被忽视的话题是国际移民与自杀死亡率之间的关系。本研究利用加拿大1950年至1982年期间的时间序列数据,考察了这些变量之间的关联。从涂尔干的社会整合与自杀理论推导出来的核心假设是,移民率越高,自杀率越高。分别从“经济失范”和“社会人口统计学”角度选取的两个统计控制变量,即失业率和年龄构成,被引入到一个涉及移民与自杀的多元回归模型中。虽然分析初始阶段的一些结果似乎与关于移民和失业在预测自杀方面的相关性的现有文献相矛盾,但允许分别调查男性和女性自杀倾向的更精细分类,总体上支持社会整合和经济失范理论。研究得出结论,15至34岁的男性群体对其经济前景和移民经历的变化高度敏感,因此,他们的自杀率高于同年龄组的女性。

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