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将航空地球物理勘测数据应用于逻辑回归模型以提高天然放射性氡地图的预测能力。爱尔兰凯里郡卡斯尔岛的案例研究。

Application of airborne geophysical survey data in a logistic regression model to improve the predictive power of geogenic radon maps. A case study in Castleisland, County Kerry, Ireland.

作者信息

Dardac Mirela, Elío Javier, Aghdam Mirsina M, Banríon Méabh, Crowley Quentin

机构信息

Geology, School of Natural Sciences, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland.

Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen, Norway.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Oct 10;894:164965. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164965. Epub 2023 Jun 19.

Abstract

In this study, a novel methodology was investigated to improve the spatial resolution and predictive power of geogenic radon maps. The data inputs comprise indoor radon measurements and seven geogenic factors including geological data (i.e. bedrock and Quaternary geology, aquifer type and soil permeability) and airborne geophysical parameters (i.e. magnetic field strength, gamma-ray radiation and electromagnetic resistivity). The methodology was tested in Castleisland southwest Ireland, a radon-prone area identified based on the results of previous indoor radon surveys. The developed model was capable of justifying almost 75 % of the variation in geogenic radon potential. It was found that the attributes with the greatest statistical significance were equivalent uranium content (EqU) and soil permeability. A new radon potential map was produced at a higher spatial resolution compared with the original map, which did not include geophysical parameter data. In the final step, the activity of radon in soil gas was measured at 87 sites, and the correlation between the observed soil gas radon and geophysical properties was evaluated. The results indicate that any model using only geophysical data cannot accurately predict soil radon activity and that geological information should be integrated to achieve a successful prediction model. Furthermore, we found that EqU is a better indicator for predicting indoor radon potential than the measured soil radon concentrations.

摘要

在本研究中,研究了一种新方法以提高天然放射性氡地图的空间分辨率和预测能力。数据输入包括室内氡测量值和七个地质成因因素,其中包括地质数据(即基岩和第四纪地质、含水层类型和土壤渗透率)以及航空地球物理参数(即磁场强度、伽马射线辐射和电磁电阻率)。该方法在爱尔兰西南部的卡斯尔岛进行了测试,该地区是根据先前室内氡调查结果确定的氡易发区。所开发的模型能够解释近75%的天然放射性氡潜力变化。结果发现,具有最大统计显著性的属性是等效铀含量(EqU)和土壤渗透率。与不包括地球物理参数数据的原始地图相比,绘制了一幅具有更高空间分辨率的新氡潜力地图。在最后一步中,在87个地点测量了土壤气体中的氡活度,并评估了观测到的土壤气体氡与地球物理性质之间的相关性。结果表明,仅使用地球物理数据的任何模型都无法准确预测土壤氡活度,并且应整合地质信息以建立成功的预测模型。此外,我们发现EqU比测量的土壤氡浓度更能预测室内氡潜力。

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