Orlov Anton, Aunan Kristin, Mistry Malcolm N, Lejeune Quentin, Pongratz Julia, Thiery Wim, Gasparrini Antonio, Reed Eilif Ursin, Schleussner Carl-Friedrich
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway.
Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Environ Res Lett. 2023 Jun 1;18(6):061005-61005. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acd799. Epub 2023 Jun 2.
Climate change can substantially affect temperature-related mortality and morbidity, especially under high green-house gas emission pathways. Achieving the Paris Agreement goals require not only drastic reductions in fossil fuel-based emissions but also land-use and land-cover changes (LULCC), such as reforestation and afforestation. LULCC has been mainly analysed in the context of land-based mitigation and food security. However, growing scientific evidence shows that LULCC can also substantially alter climate through biogeophysical effects. Little is known about the consequential impacts on human health. LULCC-related impact research should broaden its scope by including the human health impacts. LULCC are relevant to several global agendas (i.e. Sustainable Development Goals). Thus, collaboration across research communities and stronger stakeholder engagement are required to address this knowledge gap.
气候变化会对与温度相关的死亡率和发病率产生重大影响,尤其是在高温室气体排放路径的情况下。要实现《巴黎协定》的目标,不仅需要大幅减少基于化石燃料的排放,还需要改变土地利用和土地覆盖(LULCC),例如重新造林和植树造林。LULCC主要是在陆地减排和粮食安全的背景下进行分析的。然而,越来越多的科学证据表明,LULCC也会通过生物地球物理效应大幅改变气候。人们对其对人类健康的相应影响知之甚少。与LULCC相关的影响研究应通过纳入对人类健康的影响来拓宽其范围。LULCC与多个全球议程(即可持续发展目标)相关。因此,需要跨研究社区的合作以及更强有力的利益相关者参与来填补这一知识空白。