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儿童和青少年心理健康研究中的因果关系与预测

Causation and prediction in child and adolescent mental health research.

作者信息

Larsson Henrik

机构信息

School of Medical Sciences Örebro University Örebro Sweden.

Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics Karolinska Institutet Stockholm Sweden.

出版信息

JCPP Adv. 2021 Jul 28;1(2):e12026. doi: 10.1002/jcv2.12026. eCollection 2021 Jul.

Abstract

There have been recent advances in prediction model research in psychiatry. Several validated prediction models are available to support the diagnosis and prognosis of mental health conditions. Prediction model research is translational in nature and the translation pathway includes well conducted epidemiological studies. These studies provide essential information needed to develop new prediction models. Despite the recent advances in prediction model research in psychiatry, there are still important limitations that hamper translation into health care. Comprehensive and transparent reporting as well as an increased focus on external validation, implementation research and stakeholder involvement may help close the translational gap.

摘要

近年来精神病学预测模型研究取得了进展。有几种经过验证的预测模型可用于支持心理健康状况的诊断和预后。预测模型研究本质上是转化性的,其转化途径包括精心开展的流行病学研究。这些研究为开发新的预测模型提供了所需的重要信息。尽管近年来精神病学预测模型研究取得了进展,但仍存在重要局限性,阻碍了其转化为医疗保健应用。全面透明的报告以及更多地关注外部验证、实施研究和利益相关者参与,可能有助于缩小转化差距。

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