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脑癌发病率和死亡率的国际模式与趋势:一项基于全球疾病负担的观察性研究

International patterns and trends in the brain cancer incidence and mortality: An observational study based on the global burden of disease.

作者信息

Ilic Irena, Ilic Milena

机构信息

Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Serbia.

Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, Serbia.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Jul 13;9(7):e18222. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e18222. eCollection 2023 Jul.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Brain cancer is a serious issue in the global burden of diseases. This observational research aimed to assess trends of the brain cancer incidence and mortality in the world in the period 1990-2019.

METHODS

Brain cancer incidence and mortality data were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study database. The joinpoint regression analysis was done to assess the brain cancer indicence and mortality trends: the average annual percent change (AAPC) along with its 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was calculated.

RESULTS

In both sexes, the highest age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality were found in high-income regions (Europe and America), while the lowest were observed in the African Region. A significant rise in brain cancer incidence rates both in males and females was observed in all regions, with one exception of a significantly decreased trend only among males in the South-East Asia Region. Among countries with increased trends in incidence and mortality from brain cancer, Cuba experienced the most marked increase in both incidence (AAPC = +5.7% in males and AAPC = +5.4% in females) and mortality rates (AAPC = +5.5% in males and AAPC = +5.1% in females). Among countries that experienced a decline in brain cancer incidence and mortality, Hungary and Greenland showed the most marked decline in both sexes (equally by -1.0%).

CONCLUSION

Brain cancer shows increasing global incidence rates in both sexes and represents a priority for prevention and further research.

摘要

背景

脑癌是全球疾病负担中的一个严重问题。这项观察性研究旨在评估1990年至2019年期间全球脑癌发病率和死亡率的趋势。

方法

从全球疾病负担2019研究数据库中检索脑癌发病率和死亡率数据。进行连接点回归分析以评估脑癌发病率和死亡率趋势:计算平均年度百分比变化(AAPC)及其95%置信区间(95%CI)。

结果

在男性和女性中,高收入地区(欧洲和美洲)的年龄标准化发病率和死亡率最高,而非洲地区最低。在所有地区,男性和女性的脑癌发病率均显著上升,但东南亚地区仅男性呈显著下降趋势这一情况除外。在脑癌发病率和死亡率呈上升趋势的国家中,古巴的发病率(男性AAPC = +5.7%,女性AAPC = +5.4%)和死亡率(男性AAPC = +5.5%,女性AAPC = +5.1%)增长最为显著。在脑癌发病率和死亡率呈下降趋势的国家中,匈牙利和格陵兰岛在两性中下降最为显著(均下降-1.0%)。

结论

脑癌在全球范围内的发病率在男性和女性中均呈上升趋势,是预防和进一步研究的重点。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/23e1/10372320/b214138ab697/gr1.jpg

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