Wertz D C, Sorenson J R, Heeren T C
Am J Hum Genet. 1986 Aug;39(2):253-64.
Clients in 544 genetic counseling sessions who were given numeric risks of having a child with a birth defect between 0% and 50% were asked to interpret these numeric risks on a five-point scale, ranging from very low to very high. Whereas clients' modal interpretation varied directly with numeric risks between 0% and 15%, the modal category of client risk interpretation remained "moderate" at risks between 15% and 50%. Uncertainty about normalcy of the next child increased as numeric risk increased, and few clients were willing to indicate that the child would probably or definitely be affected regardless of the numeric risk. Characteristics associated with clients' "pessimistic" interpretations of risk, identified by stepwise linear regression, included increased numeric risk, discussion in depth during the counseling session of whether they would have a child, have a living affected child, discussion of the effects of an affected child on relationships with client's other children, and seriousness of the disorder in question (causes intellectual impairment). Client interpretations are discussed in terms of recent developments in cognitive theory, including heuristics that influence judgments about risks, and implications for genetic counseling.
在544次遗传咨询中,向那些被告知生育出生缺陷患儿的数字风险在0%至50%之间的客户提出要求,让他们在从极低到极高的五点量表上解读这些数字风险。虽然客户的典型解读在数字风险为0%至15%之间时随数字风险直接变化,但在风险为15%至50%时,客户风险解读的典型类别仍为“中等”。随着数字风险增加,对下一胎是否正常的不确定性增加,而且几乎没有客户愿意表示无论数字风险如何,孩子很可能或肯定会受到影响。通过逐步线性回归确定的与客户对风险的“悲观”解读相关的特征包括数字风险增加、咨询期间深入讨论他们是否会生育、有一个存活的患病子女、讨论患病子女对与客户其他孩子关系的影响以及所讨论疾病的严重程度(导致智力障碍)。从认知理论的最新进展角度讨论了客户的解读,包括影响风险判断的启发法,以及对遗传咨询的启示。