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评估分级热健康风险早期预警模型的适用性和健康效益——中国山东省济南市,2022年

Evaluating the Applicability and Health Benefits of the Graded Heat Health Risk Early Warning Model - Jinan City, Shandong Province, China, 2022.

作者信息

Chen Chen, Liu Jing, Wang Menghan, Cui Liangliang, Li Tiantian

机构信息

China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.

Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Hebei Province, College of Public Health, Hebei University, Baoding City, Hebei Province, China.

出版信息

China CDC Wkly. 2023 Jul 21;5(29):642-646. doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.123.

DOI:10.46234/ccdcw2023.123
PMID:37529143
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10388179/
Abstract

WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC?: The heat health early warning model serves as an effective strategy for reducing health risks related to heatwaves and improving population adaptability. Several high-income countries have taken the lead in conducting research and implementing measures aimed at safeguarding their populations.

WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT?: The graded heat health risk early warning model (GHREWM) in Jinan City has demonstrated efficacy in safeguarding males, females, individuals aged above 75 years, and those with cardiopulmonary diseases. During the summer of 2022, the warning stage of GHREWM contributed to the prevention of 10.9 deaths per million individuals, concurrently averting health-related economic losses estimated at approximately 227 million Chinese Yuan (CNY).

WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE?: The GHREWM has the potential to enhance cities' adaptability to climate change. It is crucial to incorporate additional adverse health endpoint data in the development of early warning models, as this will improve their applicability and protective efficacy.

摘要

关于该主题已知的信息有哪些?:热健康早期预警模型是降低与热浪相关的健康风险及提高人群适应能力的有效策略。几个高收入国家已率先开展相关研究并实施旨在保护其民众的措施。

本报告新增了哪些内容?:济南市的分级热健康风险早期预警模型(GHREWM)已证明在保护男性、女性、75岁以上人群以及患有心肺疾病的人群方面具有成效。在2022年夏季,GHREWM的预警阶段每百万人口预防了10.9例死亡,同时避免了估计约2.27亿元人民币的与健康相关的经济损失。

对公共卫生实践有何启示?:GHREWM有潜力增强城市对气候变化的适应能力。在早期预警模型的开发中纳入更多不良健康终点数据至关重要,因为这将提高其适用性和保护效果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/312a/10388179/5adbe646227b/ccdcw-5-29-642-S1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/312a/10388179/9a19c84094f4/ccdcw-5-29-642-1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/312a/10388179/5adbe646227b/ccdcw-5-29-642-S1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/312a/10388179/9a19c84094f4/ccdcw-5-29-642-1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/312a/10388179/5adbe646227b/ccdcw-5-29-642-S1.jpg

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