Zhang Baichao, Chen Huiqi, Lu Bo
National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China.
Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China.
China CDC Wkly. 2023 Jul 21;5(29):647-650. doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.124.
WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC?: Climate change has had a detrimental impact on global health, particularly through the rise of extreme heatwaves. Presently, the early warning system for heatwave-related health risks can forecast potential dangers several days in advance; however, long-term warnings fall short.
WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT?: This report introduces a novel early warning system aimed at predicting heatwave-induced health risks in China at sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales. The outcomes of the assessment suggest this system holds significant potential.
WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICES?: The system facilitates advanced assessment of both the scale and dispersal of risk among various demographic groups. This allows for the proactive management of potential risks with extended lead times.
关于该主题已知的信息有哪些？：气候变化已对全球健康产生了有害影响，特别是通过极端热浪的增加。目前，与热浪相关的健康风险预警系统可以提前几天预测潜在危险；然而，长期预警存在不足。
本报告补充了哪些内容？：本报告引入了一种新型预警系统，旨在预测中国在次季节到季节时间尺度上由热浪引发的健康风险。评估结果表明该系统具有巨大潜力。
对公共卫生实践有哪些启示？：该系统有助于对不同人群中风险的规模和扩散进行提前评估。这使得能够提前更长时间对潜在风险进行主动管理。
